Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#103
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#84
Pace67.9#209
Improvement-5.2#335

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#93
First Shot+0.5#162
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#22
Layup/Dunks+2.4#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#98
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+0.8#143

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#123
First Shot+4.3#57
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#346
Layups/Dunks-0.7#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#58
Freethrows+1.3#90
Improvement-6.0#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 3
Quad 23 - 25 - 5
Quad 35 - 310 - 8
Quad 411 - 121 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 149   Princeton W 94-67 73%     1 - 0 +25.2 +22.1 +4.2
  Nov 12, 2019 248   Lamar W 66-56 88%     2 - 0 +1.8 -9.7 +11.4
  Nov 15, 2019 236   Lipscomb W 58-36 87%     3 - 0 +14.7 -19.8 +34.6
  Nov 21, 2019 128   Indiana St. W 74-71 58%     4 - 0 +5.8 +0.8 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2019 191   Air Force W 69-63 73%     5 - 0 +4.4 -3.8 +8.6
  Nov 24, 2019 197   Loyola Marymount W 71-50 74%     6 - 0 +19.1 +7.0 +14.9
  Dec 04, 2019 252   VMI W 71-58 88%     7 - 0 +4.7 +0.3 +5.7
  Dec 09, 2019 294   Columbia W 90-54 92%     8 - 0 +25.3 +13.7 +12.0
  Dec 14, 2019 186   Radford W 71-49 71%     9 - 0 +20.9 +0.6 +22.1
  Dec 21, 2019 172   Austin Peay W 86-77 68%     10 - 0 +8.9 +5.4 +3.0
  Dec 22, 2019 176   UAB L 68-77 69%     10 - 1 -9.5 -5.8 -3.5
  Dec 29, 2019 142   Marshall L 61-83 62%     10 - 2 -20.4 -12.6 -6.6
  Jan 02, 2020 69   Saint Louis W 73-59 50%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +18.6 +1.5 +16.6
  Jan 05, 2020 74   Davidson W 71-64 53%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +11.0 +4.8 +7.0
  Jan 08, 2020 257   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-60 76%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +15.4 +5.3 +11.0
  Jan 11, 2020 230   @ George Washington W 66-61 70%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +4.1 -4.3 +8.7
  Jan 15, 2020 237   Fordham W 58-56 OT 87%     15 - 2 5 - 0 -5.3 -8.0 +2.9
  Jan 22, 2020 70   @ Rhode Island L 55-77 29%     15 - 3 5 - 1 -11.6 -9.1 -3.2
  Jan 25, 2020 161   @ Massachusetts L 64-73 55%     15 - 4 5 - 2 -5.5 -8.3 +2.9
  Jan 29, 2020 6   Dayton L 69-73 21%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +9.3 +7.4 +1.4
  Feb 02, 2020 180   La Salle W 71-69 79%     16 - 5 6 - 3 -1.7 +1.5 -3.1
  Feb 05, 2020 69   @ Saint Louis W 82-68 28%     17 - 5 7 - 3 +24.7 +15.8 +8.8
  Feb 08, 2020 126   St. Bonaventure L 80-83 68%     17 - 6 7 - 4 -3.2 +13.1 -16.6
  Feb 16, 2020 237   @ Fordham W 59-54 72%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +3.8 -4.1 +8.1
  Feb 19, 2020 230   George Washington L 67-70 86%     18 - 7 8 - 5 -9.9 -7.5 -2.4
  Feb 22, 2020 6   @ Dayton L 70-80 9%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +9.3 +9.4 -0.9
  Feb 26, 2020 126   @ St. Bonaventure W 81-77 OT 46%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +9.8 +5.3 +4.3
  Feb 29, 2020 169   George Mason W 81-78 77%     20 - 8 10 - 6 +0.1 +7.0 -6.9
  Mar 03, 2020 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 80-77 OT 30%     21 - 8 11 - 6 +13.2 +10.2 +2.8
  Mar 06, 2020 52   Richmond L 62-73 44%     21 - 9 11 - 7 -4.9 -10.3 +5.9
Projected Record 21 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%