Gonzaga
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+19.3#2
Expected Predictive Rating+21.4#2
Pace76.7#33
Improvement+1.5#118

Offense
Total Offense+13.2#1
First Shot+11.0#4
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#30
Layup/Dunks+11.9#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#180
Freethrows+1.7#56
Improvement+2.5#69

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#36
First Shot+4.6#51
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#57
Layups/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#101
Freethrows+3.5#11
Improvement-1.0#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 13.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 68.9% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 98.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen75.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight53.7% n/a n/a
Final Four35.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game22.5% n/a n/a
National Champion13.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 24 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 07 - 2
Quad 24 - 011 - 2
Quad 310 - 021 - 2
Quad 410 - 031 - 2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 337   Alabama St. W 95-64 99.6%    1 - 0 +15.6 +20.6 -4.6
  Nov 09, 2019 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 110-60 99.8%    2 - 0 +28.9 +25.6 -0.4
  Nov 12, 2019 241   North Dakota W 97-66 98%     3 - 0 +23.6 +12.4 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2019 110   @ Texas A&M W 79-49 87%     4 - 0 +37.2 +10.8 +26.0
  Nov 19, 2019 137   Texas Arlington W 72-66 96%     5 - 0 +5.1 -0.9 +5.9
  Nov 23, 2019 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-49 99%     6 - 0 +19.1 +0.9 +18.0
  Nov 27, 2019 267   Southern Miss W 94-69 98%     7 - 0 +19.0 +19.6 -0.8
  Nov 28, 2019 20   Oregon W 73-72 OT 71%     8 - 0 +14.6 +1.2 +13.4
  Nov 29, 2019 15   Michigan L 64-82 69%     8 - 1 -3.7 -2.4 -1.3
  Dec 04, 2019 291   Texas Southern W 101-62 99%     9 - 1 +28.5 +11.4 +13.2
  Dec 08, 2019 56   @ Washington W 83-76 76%     10 - 1 +18.8 +9.9 +8.2
  Dec 14, 2019 18   @ Arizona W 84-80 60%     11 - 1 +20.7 +16.8 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2019 68   North Carolina W 94-81 91%     12 - 1 +17.7 +11.8 +4.4
  Dec 21, 2019 133   Eastern Washington W 112-77 96%     13 - 1 +34.3 +22.6 +6.8
  Dec 30, 2019 304   Detroit Mercy W 93-72 99%     14 - 1 +9.9 +8.9 +0.3
  Jan 02, 2020 297   @ Portland W 85-72 98%     15 - 1 1 - 0 +8.3 +16.9 -8.0
  Jan 04, 2020 135   Pepperdine W 75-70 96%     16 - 1 2 - 0 +4.2 -6.3 +10.1
  Jan 09, 2020 228   @ San Diego W 94-50 96%     17 - 1 3 - 0 +43.2 +14.0 +24.2
  Jan 11, 2020 197   @ Loyola Marymount W 87-62 94%     18 - 1 4 - 0 +26.1 +13.3 +12.3
  Jan 16, 2020 162   Santa Clara W 104-54 97%     19 - 1 5 - 0 +47.4 +20.5 +22.3
  Jan 18, 2020 22   BYU W 92-69 79%     20 - 1 6 - 0 +33.6 +16.7 +15.5
  Jan 25, 2020 125   Pacific W 92-59 95%     21 - 1 7 - 0 +32.8 +22.4 +11.3
  Jan 30, 2020 162   @ Santa Clara W 87-72 92%     22 - 1 8 - 0 +18.5 +6.5 +10.3
  Feb 01, 2020 78   @ San Francisco W 83-79 82%     23 - 1 9 - 0 +13.7 +11.1 +2.4
  Feb 06, 2020 197   Loyola Marymount W 85-67 98%     24 - 1 10 - 0 +13.1 +10.9 +2.4
  Feb 08, 2020 43   @ St. Mary's W 90-60 72%     25 - 1 11 - 0 +43.2 +23.8 +20.3
  Feb 15, 2020 135   @ Pepperdine W 89-77 90%     26 - 1 12 - 0 +17.2 +8.9 +7.3
  Feb 20, 2020 78   San Francisco W 71-54 92%     27 - 1 13 - 0 +20.7 -2.4 +22.6
  Feb 22, 2020 22   @ BYU L 78-91 60%     27 - 2 13 - 1 +3.6 +7.5 -3.2
  Feb 27, 2020 228   San Diego W 94-59 98%     28 - 2 14 - 1 +28.1 +22.4 +6.1
  Feb 29, 2020 43   St. Mary's W 86-76 87%     29 - 2 15 - 1 +17.2 +14.3 +2.9
  Mar 09, 2020 78   San Francisco W 81-77 88%     30 - 2 +10.7 +11.3 -0.6
  Mar 10, 2020 43   St. Mary's W 84-66 80%     31 - 2 +28.2 +24.0 +6.4
Projected Record 31 - 2 15 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 68.9 29.5 1.5 0.1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.3 68.9 29.5 1.5 0.1