Purdue
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#24
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#48
Pace61.8#334
Improvement+2.3#89

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#49
First Shot+2.2#105
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#14
Layup/Dunks+2.8#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+2.5#72

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#12
First Shot+7.0#11
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#93
Layups/Dunks+6.1#11
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#241
Freethrows+1.4#82
Improvement-0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.4% n/a n/a
First Round12.3% n/a n/a
Second Round5.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 14 - 10
Quad 25 - 49 - 14
Quad 32 - 111 - 15
Quad 45 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 218   Green Bay W 79-57 95%     1 - 0 +16.0 -1.4 +17.1
  Nov 09, 2019 62   Texas L 66-70 77%     1 - 1 +1.3 +4.6 -3.7
  Nov 13, 2019 29   @ Marquette L 55-65 40%     1 - 2 +5.5 -6.4 +10.8
  Nov 16, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 93-49 99.8%    2 - 2 +17.9 +15.9 +6.4
  Nov 23, 2019 277   Jacksonville St. W 81-49 97%     3 - 2 +22.5 +12.0 +13.3
  Nov 29, 2019 73   Virginia Commonwealth W 59-56 72%     4 - 2 +10.2 -5.8 +16.0
  Nov 30, 2019 12   Florida St. L 60-63 OT 44%     4 - 3 +11.5 -8.5 +20.2
  Dec 04, 2019 40   Virginia W 69-40 71%     5 - 3 +36.4 +21.3 +21.2
  Dec 08, 2019 118   Northwestern W 58-44 88%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +14.5 -6.5 +23.1
  Dec 15, 2019 156   @ Nebraska L 56-70 81%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -10.3 -14.5 +4.2
  Dec 17, 2019 158   @ Ohio W 69-51 81%     7 - 4 +21.6 +2.5 +20.4
  Dec 21, 2019 27   Butler L 61-70 52%     7 - 5 +3.6 -1.2 +4.0
  Dec 28, 2019 215   Central Michigan W 97-62 95%     8 - 5 +29.1 +13.3 +13.5
  Jan 02, 2020 28   Minnesota W 83-78 2OT 63%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +14.5 +4.0 +9.9
  Jan 05, 2020 31   @ Illinois L 37-63 41%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -10.6 -23.7 +9.8
  Jan 09, 2020 15   @ Michigan L 78-84 2OT 34%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +11.3 +3.5 +8.6
  Jan 12, 2020 4   Michigan St. W 71-42 44%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +43.5 +17.1 +31.5
  Jan 18, 2020 10   @ Maryland L 50-57 32%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +11.0 -2.0 +11.3
  Jan 21, 2020 31   Illinois L 62-79 64%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -7.7 +2.2 -12.3
  Jan 24, 2020 21   Wisconsin W 70-51 59%     11 - 9 4 - 5 +29.6 +16.3 +16.9
  Jan 28, 2020 30   @ Rutgers L 63-70 41%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +8.5 +1.0 +7.3
  Feb 01, 2020 118   @ Northwestern W 61-58 73%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +9.6 +2.5 +7.7
  Feb 05, 2020 25   Iowa W 104-68 62%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +45.9 +34.7 +12.1
  Feb 08, 2020 34   @ Indiana W 74-62 44%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +26.5 +14.9 +12.5
  Feb 11, 2020 26   Penn St. L 76-88 63%     14 - 11 7 - 7 -2.3 +10.2 -12.7
  Feb 15, 2020 9   @ Ohio St. L 52-68 31%     14 - 12 7 - 8 +2.3 -10.5 +12.2
  Feb 18, 2020 21   @ Wisconsin L 65-69 36%     14 - 13 7 - 9 +12.7 +12.0 +0.0
  Feb 22, 2020 15   Michigan L 63-71 57%     14 - 14 7 - 10 +3.2 -2.1 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2020 34   Indiana W 57-49 67%     15 - 14 8 - 10 +16.5 -5.6 +22.7
  Mar 03, 2020 25   @ Iowa W 77-68 39%     16 - 14 9 - 10 +25.0 +6.7 +18.1
  Mar 07, 2020 30   Rutgers L 68-71 OT 64%     16 - 15 9 - 11 +6.5 -1.0 +7.6
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 19.4% 19.4% 11.7 5.2 14.2 0.1 80.6 19.4%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 19.4% 0.0% 19.4% 11.7 5.2 14.2 0.1 80.6 19.4%