Cincinnati
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#44
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#50
Pace68.4#198
Improvement+0.8#148

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#57
First Shot+2.3#102
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#27
Layup/Dunks+5.3#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#265
Freethrows+1.8#51
Improvement+2.1#85

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#44
First Shot+5.3#38
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#168
Layups/Dunks+3.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
Freethrows+1.1#104
Improvement-1.3#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round39.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 6
Quad 27 - 09 - 6
Quad 39 - 418 - 10
Quad 42 - 020 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 56-64 22%     0 - 1 +10.3 -3.9 +13.6
  Nov 11, 2019 166   Drake W 81-59 88%     1 - 1 +19.4 +6.6 +12.7
  Nov 14, 2019 344   Alabama A&M W 85-53 99%     2 - 1 +13.7 -2.7 +13.0
  Nov 22, 2019 217   Illinois St. W 66-65 88%     3 - 1 -1.9 -4.6 +2.7
  Nov 24, 2019 167   Bowling Green L 84-91 OT 82%     3 - 2 -6.7 -9.5 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2019 146   Valparaiso W 81-77 OT 79%     4 - 2 +5.4 -2.7 +7.6
  Nov 30, 2019 97   UNLV W 72-65 OT 77%     5 - 2 +9.2 -9.3 +17.6
  Dec 03, 2019 84   Vermont W 82-73 74%     6 - 2 +12.3 +15.1 -2.4
  Dec 07, 2019 41   @ Xavier L 66-73 37%     6 - 3 +6.4 +0.0 +6.6
  Dec 14, 2019 123   Colgate L 66-67 83%     6 - 4 -0.9 -3.2 +2.2
  Dec 18, 2019 61   Tennessee W 78-66 68%     7 - 4 +17.3 +12.1 +5.7
  Dec 21, 2019 25   Iowa L 70-77 39%     7 - 5 +6.0 -7.4 +14.0
  Jan 01, 2020 55   Connecticut W 67-51 66%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +21.9 -0.9 +23.3
  Jan 04, 2020 179   @ Tulane L 71-76 77%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -2.6 +2.1 -4.9
  Jan 08, 2020 75   Tulsa W 75-44 73%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +34.9 +6.5 +28.1
  Jan 11, 2020 117   @ Central Florida W 68-54 63%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +20.8 +7.6 +14.9
  Jan 16, 2020 57   @ Memphis L 49-60 44%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +0.6 -10.0 +10.0
  Jan 19, 2020 202   East Carolina W 82-57 91%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +19.9 +2.9 +15.6
  Jan 22, 2020 107   @ Temple W 89-82 60%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +14.5 +23.2 -8.7
  Jan 28, 2020 86   SMU W 65-43 75%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +25.1 -2.0 +29.9
  Feb 01, 2020 19   Houston W 64-62 48%     14 - 7 7 - 2 +12.7 +3.6 +9.3
  Feb 06, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. W 80-79 37%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +14.6 +19.1 -4.4
  Feb 09, 2020 55   @ Connecticut L 71-72 OT 43%     15 - 8 8 - 3 +10.9 +2.3 +8.6
  Feb 13, 2020 57   Memphis W 92-86 OT 67%     16 - 8 9 - 3 +11.6 +13.0 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2020 202   @ East Carolina W 70-67 OT 81%     17 - 8 10 - 3 +3.9 -6.5 +10.3
  Feb 19, 2020 117   Central Florida L 87-89 2OT 81%     17 - 9 10 - 4 -1.2 -0.5 -0.3
  Feb 23, 2020 39   Wichita St. W 67-64 60%     18 - 9 11 - 4 +10.6 -2.4 +12.8
  Mar 01, 2020 19   @ Houston L 55-68 26%     18 - 10 11 - 5 +3.7 -2.5 +4.7
  Mar 03, 2020 115   @ South Florida W 79-67 62%     19 - 10 12 - 5 +18.9 +15.0 +4.3
  Mar 07, 2020 107   Temple W 64-63 79%     20 - 10 13 - 5 +2.4 +2.9 -0.3
Projected Record 20 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.4 0.0 1.9 10.1 34.5 49.1 4.3
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.4 0.0 1.9 10.1 34.5 49.1 4.3