Memphis
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#57
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#55
Pace79.3#16
Improvement-5.6#343

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#206
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#151
Layup/Dunks+2.4#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#271
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement-4.9#345

Defense
Total Defense+9.5#4
First Shot+8.8#5
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#112
Layups/Dunks+5.3#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#99
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement-0.8#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four27.3% n/a n/a
First Round20.5% n/a n/a
Second Round6.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 33 - 5
Quad 25 - 28 - 7
Quad 36 - 314 - 10
Quad 47 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 339   South Carolina St. W 97-64 98%     1 - 0 +17.5 +5.4 +9.0
  Nov 08, 2019 193   Illinois-Chicago W 92-46 89%     2 - 0 +41.3 +18.0 +22.4
  Nov 12, 2019 20   Oregon L 74-82 31%     2 - 1 +5.6 -0.3 +6.5
  Nov 16, 2019 326   Alcorn St. W 102-56 97%     3 - 1 +32.0 -1.1 +23.2
  Nov 20, 2019 134   Arkansas Little Rock W 68-58 81%     4 - 1 +9.3 -14.7 +22.9
  Nov 23, 2019 93   Mississippi W 87-86 72%     5 - 1 +3.4 +5.4 -2.1
  Nov 28, 2019 45   North Carolina St. W 83-78 45%     6 - 1 +15.0 +15.1 +0.0
  Dec 03, 2019 109   Bradley W 71-56 76%     7 - 1 +16.3 -5.8 +21.3
  Dec 07, 2019 176   @ UAB W 65-57 72%     8 - 1 +10.5 -4.7 +15.4
  Dec 14, 2019 61   @ Tennessee W 51-47 40%     9 - 1 +15.3 -12.3 +27.9
  Dec 21, 2019 287   Jackson St. W 77-49 95%     10 - 1 +17.7 -8.6 +22.2
  Dec 28, 2019 327   New Orleans W 97-55 97%     11 - 1 +27.9 -4.0 +24.1
  Dec 31, 2019 179   Tulane W 84-73 87%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +7.4 +5.7 +1.2
  Jan 04, 2020 89   Georgia L 62-65 71%     12 - 2 -0.1 -12.6 +12.6
  Jan 09, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. L 67-76 31%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +4.6 -0.7 +5.9
  Jan 12, 2020 115   @ South Florida W 68-64 57%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +10.9 +1.5 +9.4
  Jan 16, 2020 44   Cincinnati W 60-49 56%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +18.1 -5.4 +24.0
  Jan 22, 2020 75   @ Tulsa L 40-80 45%     14 - 4 3 - 2 -30.1 -26.4 -2.3
  Jan 25, 2020 86   SMU L 70-74 70%     14 - 5 3 - 3 -0.9 +0.8 -2.0
  Jan 29, 2020 117   @ Central Florida W 59-57 57%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +8.8 -7.5 +16.3
  Feb 01, 2020 55   Connecticut W 70-63 61%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +12.9 -6.4 +18.6
  Feb 05, 2020 107   Temple W 79-65 75%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +15.4 +5.4 +9.3
  Feb 08, 2020 115   South Florida L 73-75 77%     17 - 6 6 - 4 -1.1 +5.3 -6.4
  Feb 13, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 86-92 OT 33%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +7.1 +7.0 +1.1
  Feb 16, 2020 55   @ Connecticut L 61-64 38%     17 - 8 6 - 6 +8.9 -5.9 +14.8
  Feb 19, 2020 202   East Carolina W 77-73 89%     18 - 8 7 - 6 -1.1 -5.6 +4.1
  Feb 22, 2020 19   Houston W 60-59 42%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +11.7 -4.5 +16.2
  Feb 25, 2020 86   @ SMU L 53-58 48%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +4.2 -17.1 +21.1
  Feb 29, 2020 179   @ Tulane W 74-67 OT 72%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +9.4 -9.2 +17.5
  Mar 05, 2020 39   Wichita St. W 68-60 54%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +15.6 +3.7 +12.1
  Mar 08, 2020 19   @ Houston L 57-64 22%     21 - 10 10 - 8 +9.7 -4.6 +14.0
Projected Record 21 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 35.5% 35.5% 11.0 0.0 0.3 4.2 25.5 5.5 64.5 35.5%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 35.5% 0.0% 35.5% 11.0 0.0 0.3 4.2 25.5 5.5 64.5 35.5%