Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#159
Pace66.2#254
Improvement+3.1#60

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#89
Layup/Dunks+2.6#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#246
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement+2.7#61

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#249
First Shot-2.9#279
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#118
Layups/Dunks-2.7#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#120
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+0.4#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four36.3% n/a n/a
First Round86.1% n/a n/a
Second Round4.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 23 - 6
Quad 417 - 420 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 198   American W 96-80 70%     1 - 0 +11.1 +14.4 -4.3
  Nov 08, 2019 41   @ Xavier L 63-81 12%     1 - 1 -4.6 -4.5 +0.9
  Nov 12, 2019 126   St. Bonaventure W 78-65 53%     2 - 1 +12.8 +4.4 +8.4
  Nov 14, 2019 114   @ Harvard L 56-59 27%     2 - 2 +4.0 -12.1 +16.1
  Nov 20, 2019 72   @ Yale L 89-100 3OT 18%     2 - 3 -0.8 +0.5 +1.3
  Nov 29, 2019 123   @ Colgate L 62-72 29%     2 - 4 -3.9 -11.3 +7.7
  Dec 07, 2019 317   @ Cal Poly L 66-70 74%     2 - 5 -10.3 -3.2 -7.5
  Dec 21, 2019 242   Bucknell W 81-71 78%     3 - 5 +2.4 +1.9 -0.1
  Dec 23, 2019 260   Canisius W 73-72 81%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -7.8 -10.0 +2.1
  Dec 29, 2019 343   Holy Cross W 74-62 94%     5 - 5 -5.7 -4.7 -0.1
  Jan 03, 2020 204   Monmouth W 75-72 71%     6 - 5 2 - 0 -2.2 -2.8 +0.5
  Jan 05, 2020 190   @ Rider L 77-85 45%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -6.3 +1.5 -7.4
  Jan 09, 2020 195   St. Peter's W 61-58 69%     7 - 6 3 - 1 -1.8 -4.8 +3.3
  Jan 12, 2020 268   @ Manhattan L 69-81 63%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -15.1 -1.2 -14.0
  Jan 17, 2020 260   @ Canisius L 63-73 62%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -12.8 -8.5 -4.6
  Jan 19, 2020 300   @ Niagara L 71-72 70%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -5.8 +7.3 -13.3
  Jan 24, 2020 318   Marist W 70-57 88%     8 - 9 4 - 4 +0.7 -6.7 +7.1
  Jan 26, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 84-61 80%     9 - 9 5 - 4 +14.5 +13.2 +3.3
  Jan 31, 2020 223   @ Iona W 87-64 54%     10 - 9 6 - 4 +22.4 +14.5 +8.5
  Feb 02, 2020 195   @ St. Peter's L 80-85 47%     10 - 10 6 - 5 -3.8 +19.4 -23.6
  Feb 07, 2020 302   Fairfield W 65-49 86%     11 - 10 7 - 5 +5.0 -3.1 +9.5
  Feb 14, 2020 190   Rider W 73-64 68%     12 - 10 8 - 5 +4.7 +4.3 +1.0
  Feb 16, 2020 268   Manhattan W 65-52 82%     13 - 10 9 - 5 +3.9 -2.5 +7.7
  Feb 19, 2020 223   Iona W 65-64 75%     14 - 10 10 - 5 -5.6 -4.7 -0.8
  Feb 23, 2020 302   @ Fairfield W 62-59 70%     15 - 10 11 - 5 -2.0 +2.0 -3.5
  Feb 26, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac W 84-77 61%     16 - 10 12 - 5 +4.5 +9.6 -5.0
  Feb 28, 2020 318   @ Marist W 52-50 74%     17 - 10 13 - 5 -4.3 -5.6 +1.9
  Mar 04, 2020 300   Niagara W 77-55 85%     18 - 10 14 - 5 +11.1 -0.5 +12.5
  Mar 06, 2020 204   @ Monmouth W 86-72 49%     19 - 10 15 - 5 +14.8 +16.4 -1.3
  Mar 11, 2020 268   Manhattan W 63-49 74%     20 - 10 +7.9 +2.0 +8.4
Projected Record 20 - 10 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.8 0.9 20.9 78.2
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.9 20.9 78.2