SMU
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#86
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#82
Pace62.3#331
Improvement-1.5#242

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#26
First Shot+5.4#36
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#65
Layup/Dunks+4.3#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#81
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement-1.3#250

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#202
First Shot-0.3#177
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#226
Layups/Dunks+4.0#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#346
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement-0.2#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 2
Quad 23 - 75 - 9
Quad 35 - 210 - 11
Quad 49 - 019 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 277   Jacksonville St. W 74-65 92%     1 - 0 -0.5 -0.8 +0.5
  Nov 12, 2019 327   New Orleans W 77-64 96%     2 - 0 -1.1 -4.0 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2019 287   Jackson St. W 80-63 93%     3 - 0 +6.7 +7.2 -0.2
  Nov 18, 2019 279   @ Evansville W 59-57 82%     4 - 0 -1.6 -10.7 +9.3
  Nov 23, 2019 97   @ UNLV W 72-68 42%     5 - 0 +12.2 +13.0 -0.2
  Nov 27, 2019 245   Hartford W 90-58 90%     6 - 0 +24.3 +22.7 +3.8
  Nov 29, 2019 192   Abilene Christian W 70-51 84%     7 - 0 +14.4 +9.3 +8.5
  Dec 03, 2019 286   Northwestern St. W 77-51 93%     8 - 0 +16.0 -1.4 +17.3
  Dec 07, 2019 66   Georgetown L 74-91 55%     8 - 1 -12.1 +2.7 -15.0
  Dec 20, 2019 89   @ Georgia L 85-87 2OT 39%     8 - 2 +7.0 +2.4 +4.8
  Dec 23, 2019 131   Georgia St. W 85-76 74%     9 - 2 +8.4 +0.2 +7.1
  Jan 01, 2020 115   South Florida W 82-64 69%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +18.9 +12.0 +6.8
  Jan 04, 2020 151   @ Vanderbilt W 92-81 OT 58%     11 - 2 +15.2 +14.0 +0.5
  Jan 08, 2020 117   Central Florida W 81-74 70%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +7.8 +14.6 -6.4
  Jan 11, 2020 202   @ East Carolina L 68-71 69%     12 - 3 2 - 1 -2.1 +4.0 -6.3
  Jan 15, 2020 19   @ Houston L 62-71 16%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +7.7 +4.9 +1.8
  Jan 18, 2020 107   Temple W 68-52 68%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +17.4 -0.2 +17.8
  Jan 22, 2020 202   East Carolina W 84-64 85%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +14.9 +18.8 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2020 57   @ Memphis W 74-70 30%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +15.6 +18.4 -2.4
  Jan 28, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 43-65 25%     15 - 5 5 - 3 -8.9 -17.4 +5.8
  Feb 01, 2020 179   Tulane W 82-67 82%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +11.4 +12.4 -0.1
  Feb 08, 2020 107   @ Temple L 90-97 OT 45%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +0.5 +17.3 -16.4
  Feb 12, 2020 55   Connecticut W 79-75 51%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +9.9 +18.8 -8.4
  Feb 15, 2020 19   Houston W 73-72 OT 33%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +11.7 +6.5 +5.2
  Feb 19, 2020 179   @ Tulane L 72-80 64%     18 - 7 8 - 5 -5.6 -5.1 +0.1
  Feb 22, 2020 75   @ Tulsa L 57-79 36%     18 - 8 8 - 6 -12.1 -3.1 -10.8
  Feb 25, 2020 57   Memphis W 58-53 52%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +10.6 -4.7 +15.5
  Mar 01, 2020 39   Wichita St. L 62-66 44%     19 - 9 9 - 7 +3.6 +8.3 -5.6
  Mar 04, 2020 117   @ Central Florida L 58-61 47%     19 - 10 9 - 8 +3.8 +0.0 +3.2
  Mar 07, 2020 115   @ South Florida L 60-61 47%     19 - 11 9 - 9 +5.9 -3.3 +9.2
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%