Tulsa
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#75
Expected Predictive Rating+8.6#61
Pace64.7#290
Improvement+4.3#36

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#169
First Shot+0.3#174
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#155
Layup/Dunks+2.7#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#294
Freethrows+1.5#67
Improvement+0.4#160

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#34
First Shot+5.7#32
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#124
Layups/Dunks+7.5#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#318
Freethrows+2.8#25
Improvement+4.0#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% n/a n/a
First Round0.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 4
Quad 24 - 46 - 8
Quad 38 - 114 - 9
Quad 47 - 121 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 342   Houston Baptist W 80-72 98%     1 - 0 -9.4 -14.2 +4.3
  Nov 09, 2019 137   @ Texas Arlington L 59-73 57%     1 - 1 -8.9 -6.1 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2019 138   Oral Roberts W 74-67 78%     2 - 1 +5.9 -6.1 +11.6
  Nov 16, 2019 172   Austin Peay W 72-65 83%     3 - 1 +3.9 -4.0 +8.0
  Nov 20, 2019 341   SE Louisiana W 73-66 97%     4 - 1 -9.0 -11.7 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2019 339   South Carolina St. W 78-47 97%     5 - 1 +15.5 +8.9 +12.0
  Nov 30, 2019 151   @ Vanderbilt W 67-58 60%     6 - 1 +13.2 -0.8 +14.5
  Dec 04, 2019 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-39 99%     7 - 1 +11.9 -0.8 +14.3
  Dec 07, 2019 212   Arkansas St. L 63-66 88%     7 - 2 -8.7 -1.4 -7.9
  Dec 11, 2019 77   Boise St. W 69-56 62%     8 - 2 +16.8 +0.9 +16.4
  Dec 14, 2019 48   @ Arkansas L 79-98 29%     8 - 3 -6.4 +5.5 -10.3
  Dec 21, 2019 101   Colorado St. L 104-111 3OT 57%     8 - 4 -2.1 +2.6 -2.8
  Dec 29, 2019 79   @ Kansas St. L 67-69 40%     8 - 5 +7.6 +4.3 +3.2
  Jan 03, 2020 107   Temple W 70-44 70%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +27.4 +1.2 +26.3
  Jan 08, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 44-75 27%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -17.9 -22.1 +4.4
  Jan 11, 2020 19   Houston W 63-61 36%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +12.7 +4.1 +8.9
  Jan 15, 2020 202   @ East Carolina W 65-49 72%     11 - 6 3 - 1 +16.9 -1.5 +19.7
  Jan 18, 2020 179   @ Tulane W 67-54 67%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +15.4 +1.1 +15.4
  Jan 22, 2020 57   Memphis W 80-40 55%     13 - 6 5 - 1 +45.6 +12.4 +31.8
  Jan 26, 2020 55   @ Connecticut W 79-75 OT 31%     14 - 6 6 - 1 +15.9 +7.7 +8.0
  Feb 01, 2020 39   Wichita St. W 54-51 47%     15 - 6 7 - 1 +10.6 -3.0 +14.1
  Feb 06, 2020 55   Connecticut L 56-72 54%     15 - 7 7 - 2 -10.1 -8.7 -2.9
  Feb 09, 2020 117   @ Central Florida L 75-83 50%     15 - 8 7 - 3 -1.2 +9.2 -10.7
  Feb 12, 2020 202   East Carolina W 70-56 87%     16 - 8 8 - 3 +8.9 -6.4 +15.0
  Feb 15, 2020 115   @ South Florida W 56-48 50%     17 - 8 9 - 3 +14.9 -3.4 +19.3
  Feb 19, 2020 19   @ Houston L 43-76 18%     17 - 9 9 - 4 -16.3 -16.2 -3.9
  Feb 22, 2020 86   SMU W 79-57 64%     18 - 9 10 - 4 +25.1 +10.6 +16.4
  Feb 25, 2020 179   Tulane W 62-57 84%     19 - 9 11 - 4 +1.4 -7.2 +9.0
  Feb 29, 2020 117   Central Florida W 65-54 72%     20 - 9 12 - 4 +11.8 +3.3 +10.1
  Mar 04, 2020 107   @ Temple W 61-51 48%     21 - 9 13 - 4 +17.5 -1.6 +19.6
  Mar 08, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. L 57-79 26%     21 - 10 13 - 5 -8.4 -8.4 +1.0
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 1.3% 1.3% 11.7 0.4 0.9 98.7 1.3%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 11.7 0.4 0.9 98.7 1.3%