Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#146
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#139
Pace71.3#108
Improvement+2.1#95

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#141
First Shot+1.2#138
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#154
Layup/Dunks+1.5#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#103
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement+1.3#123

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#182
First Shot-0.1#172
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#180
Layups/Dunks-2.3#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement+0.9#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 21 - 71 - 10
Quad 37 - 68 - 16
Quad 410 - 018 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 154   Toledo W 79-77 63%     1 - 0 -0.1 -0.7 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2019 69   @ Saint Louis L 70-81 19%     1 - 1 -0.3 +0.5 -0.3
  Nov 12, 2019 330   @ SIU Edwardsville W 89-76 82%     2 - 1 +4.5 +7.0 -3.3
  Nov 17, 2019 241   North Dakota W 74-60 80%     3 - 1 +6.6 -5.2 +11.6
  Nov 22, 2019 250   Grand Canyon W 78-74 74%     4 - 1 -1.3 -4.8 +3.3
  Nov 24, 2019 80   Nevada L 59-84 31%     4 - 2 -18.4 -15.0 -2.3
  Nov 25, 2019 44   Cincinnati L 77-81 OT 21%     4 - 3 +6.1 -0.6 +7.2
  Dec 03, 2019 200   @ Eastern Michigan L 79-85 52%     4 - 4 -5.0 +7.9 -12.6
  Dec 08, 2019 215   Central Michigan W 77-55 76%     5 - 4 +16.1 -5.8 +20.3
  Dec 16, 2019 171   @ Charlotte L 57-67 44%     5 - 5 -7.1 -7.1 -0.7
  Dec 18, 2019 338   @ High Point W 87-72 84%     6 - 5 +5.7 +14.1 -7.5
  Dec 21, 2019 48   @ Arkansas L 71-73 15%     6 - 6 +10.6 -6.4 +17.3
  Dec 30, 2019 106   Loyola Chicago L 63-66 50%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -1.5 -6.5 +4.9
  Jan 04, 2020 279   @ Evansville W 81-79 OT 69%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -1.6 +1.9 -3.6
  Jan 07, 2020 173   @ Southern Illinois L 50-63 45%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -10.3 -14.7 +3.4
  Jan 11, 2020 166   Drake W 66-61 65%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +2.4 -7.7 +10.1
  Jan 15, 2020 59   @ Northern Iowa L 78-88 17%     8 - 9 2 - 3 +1.4 +9.8 -8.6
  Jan 18, 2020 128   Indiana St. W 86-77 57%     9 - 9 3 - 3 +8.7 +12.3 -3.6
  Jan 23, 2020 119   @ Missouri St. L 60-67 31%     9 - 10 3 - 4 -0.6 -11.7 +11.4
  Jan 26, 2020 279   Evansville W 67-65 85%     10 - 10 4 - 4 -7.6 -5.4 -2.1
  Jan 29, 2020 109   @ Bradley L 69-80 29%     10 - 11 4 - 5 -3.7 -0.3 -3.5
  Feb 01, 2020 217   Illinois St. W 80-70 76%     11 - 11 5 - 5 +4.1 +4.2 -0.3
  Feb 05, 2020 59   Northern Iowa L 51-63 35%     11 - 12 5 - 6 -6.7 -20.4 +13.5
  Feb 09, 2020 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-70 28%     11 - 13 5 - 7 +5.5 +8.0 -2.7
  Feb 12, 2020 173   Southern Illinois W 55-38 68%     12 - 13 6 - 7 +13.7 -10.0 +25.8
  Feb 15, 2020 217   @ Illinois St. W 65-62 55%     13 - 13 7 - 7 +3.1 -2.7 +6.0
  Feb 19, 2020 166   @ Drake L 75-77 OT 42%     13 - 14 7 - 8 +1.4 -0.2 +1.7
  Feb 22, 2020 109   Bradley W 90-78 51%     14 - 14 8 - 8 +13.3 +25.1 -10.8
  Feb 25, 2020 119   Missouri St. W 89-74 54%     15 - 14 9 - 8 +15.4 +16.0 -0.7
  Feb 29, 2020 128   @ Indiana St. L 58-71 34%     15 - 15 9 - 9 -7.2 -5.6 -3.2
  Mar 05, 2020 279   Evansville W 58-55 78%     16 - 15 -3.6 -14.1 +10.7
  Mar 06, 2020 106   Loyola Chicago W 74-73 OT 38%     17 - 15 +5.5 +3.0 +2.5
  Mar 07, 2020 119   Missouri St. W 89-82 42%     18 - 15 +10.4 +16.8 -6.4
  Mar 08, 2020 109   Bradley L 66-80 39%     18 - 16 -9.7 -3.2 -7.0
Projected Record 18 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%