Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
113 Stephen F. Austin 100.0%   12   25 - 3 19 - 1 25 - 3 19 - 1 +4.0      +0.8 162 +3.2 82 75.7 40 +11.2 37 +9.3 1
192 Abilene Christian 0.0%   16 - 11 15 - 5 16 - 11 15 - 5 -1.6      -2.7 248 +1.1 140 68.7 182 -2.6 211 -0.7 2
209 Nicholls St. 0.0%   17 - 10 15 - 5 17 - 10 15 - 5 -2.6      -2.3 235 -0.2 186 70.2 140 -0.6 183 -0.9 3
224 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   14 - 13 11 - 9 14 - 13 11 - 9 -3.7      -2.3 234 -1.3 217 74.4 53 -4.0 232 -5.8 4
248 Lamar 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 10 14 - 15 10 - 10 -5.2      -4.8 298 -0.4 194 71.0 119 -5.5 253 -6.9 6
286 Northwestern St. 0.0%   12 - 15 11 - 9 12 - 15 11 - 9 -7.0      -3.2 256 -3.7 286 76.8 31 -7.2 281 -6.5 5
289 McNeese St. 0.0%   11 - 17 10 - 10 11 - 17 10 - 10 -7.3      -0.3 187 -7.1 332 70.1 142 -8.5 304 -8.1 9
296 Central Arkansas 0.0%   9 - 21 9 - 11 9 - 21 9 - 11 -7.8      -3.6 263 -4.2 298 79.7 13 -8.8 309 -7.8 8
312 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   12 - 18 10 - 10 12 - 18 10 - 10 -8.7      -6.0 321 -2.7 261 64.4 293 -7.7 291 -7.4 7
327 New Orleans 0.0%   5 - 21 5 - 15 5 - 21 5 - 15 -11.1      -2.3 237 -8.8 343 71.9 94 -14.3 340 -14.2 12
341 SE Louisiana 0.0%   5 - 23 5 - 15 5 - 23 5 - 15 -13.0      -7.5 340 -5.5 317 76.0 39 -14.3 341 -13.3 11
342 Houston Baptist 0.0%   4 - 25 4 - 16 4 - 25 4 - 16 -14.4      0.0 181 -14.4 353 86.0 2 -16.2 345 -15.4 13
345 Incarnate Word 0.0%   6 - 22 6 - 14 6 - 22 6 - 14 -15.3      -8.2 342 -7.2 333 65.1 275 -14.2 338 -12.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 2.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 2.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 4.0 100.0
Lamar 6.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 4.0 100.0
McNeese St. 6.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 9.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 6.0 100.0
New Orleans 11.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 11.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 13.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Stephen F. Austin 19 - 1 100.0
Abilene Christian 15 - 5 100.0
Nicholls St. 15 - 5 100.0
Sam Houston St. 11 - 9 100.0
Lamar 10 - 10 100.0
Northwestern St. 11 - 9 100.0
McNeese St. 10 - 10 100.0
Central Arkansas 9 - 11 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 10 - 10 100.0
New Orleans 5 - 15 100.0
SE Louisiana 5 - 15 100.0
Houston Baptist 4 - 16 100.0
Incarnate Word 6 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
Abilene Christian
Nicholls St.
Sam Houston St.
Lamar
Northwestern St.
McNeese St.
Central Arkansas
TX A&M Corpus Christi
New Orleans
SE Louisiana
Houston Baptist
Incarnate Word


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 69.8 28.5 1.6
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.0% 3.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.0% 0.2 83.0 17.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0