Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
122 Oral Roberts 30.8%   16   7 - 8 4 - 2 14 - 11 11 - 5 +2.9      +5.7 39 -2.8 255 71.3 128 +1.1 152 +1.9 4
133 South Dakota St. 26.9%   12 - 7 5 - 1 19 - 10 12 - 4 +2.2      +3.9 62 -1.7 212 68.7 200 +1.5 147 +4.7 2
154 North Dakota St. 20.0%   10 - 6 3 - 1 18 - 10 11 - 5 +0.9      +1.8 127 -1.0 189 64.2 310 +1.4 148 +2.4 3
195 Nebraska Omaha 8.6%   9 - 9 3 - 1 16 - 14 10 - 6 -2.3      +1.1 147 -3.4 270 71.0 136 +1.0 156 +5.2 1
208 South Dakota 6.1%   9 - 8 2 - 3 14 - 14 7 - 9 -2.9      +2.1 119 -5.0 313 68.3 214 -2.2 206 -7.7 7
233 North Dakota 4.4%   5 - 11 2 - 3 10 - 17 7 - 9 -4.2      -0.7 198 -3.4 272 72.1 106 -3.7 227 -5.1 5
257 Purdue Fort Wayne 2.7%   6 - 11 2 - 3 11 - 17 7 - 9 -5.5      -2.5 249 -2.9 258 70.1 160 -6.3 264 -5.4 6
329 Denver 0.2%   3 - 15 0 - 5 6 - 23 3 - 13 -10.5      -6.0 322 -4.5 303 72.8 92 -12.9 332 -19.7 9
330 Western Illinois 0.3%   3 - 11 2 - 4 5 - 19 4 - 12 -10.7      -2.6 250 -8.1 344 76.8 30 -12.1 328 -8.0 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Oral Roberts 2.0 39.6 31.5 17.7 8.0 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
South Dakota St. 1.9 48.9 26.2 15.5 6.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
North Dakota St. 2.7 27.2 22.9 21.8 16.8 7.1 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 3.3 13.0 18.6 23.3 26.1 11.9 4.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
South Dakota 5.3 1.3 3.5 7.3 15.4 27.7 24.0 16.6 3.8 0.6
North Dakota 5.4 0.9 3.0 6.9 14.9 25.4 24.2 18.2 5.7 0.8
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.9 0.3 1.4 3.9 10.0 20.2 27.8 27.2 7.6 1.6
Denver 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 7.1 25.5 64.2
Western Illinois 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.4 8.6 19.1 52.7 15.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Oral Roberts 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 7.0 14.5 23.9 26.0 19.2 6.4
South Dakota St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.4 1.7 5.6 12.7 20.9 25.1 20.4 10.7 2.5
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.3 7.7 13.7 18.6 20.9 17.8 10.8 4.8 0.9
Nebraska Omaha 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.4 12.2 19.3 22.0 18.6 11.8 5.1 1.4 0.2
South Dakota 7 - 9 0.1 0.9 3.6 9.4 16.6 20.9 21.4 15.1 8.1 3.0 0.7 0.1
North Dakota 7 - 9 0.1 1.2 4.2 10.3 17.9 20.9 20.1 14.1 7.6 2.7 0.7 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 - 9 0.3 2.0 7.6 15.4 22.3 22.1 16.7 9.1 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Denver 3 - 13 5.6 17.6 26.3 24.5 15.2 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 4 - 12 10.6 23.1 27.2 19.9 12.1 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oral Roberts 39.6% 21.7 13.8 3.5 0.5 0.1
South Dakota St. 48.9% 31.0 13.8 3.6 0.5 0.1
North Dakota St. 27.2% 15.4 8.4 2.9 0.4 0.1
Nebraska Omaha 13.0% 5.4 5.2 2.0 0.4 0.0
South Dakota 1.3% 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 0.9% 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Denver
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oral Roberts 30.8% 30.8% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.9 3.9 9.9 12.4 3.7 69.2 0.0%
South Dakota St. 26.9% 26.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.3 8.1 12.4 3.9 73.1 0.0%
North Dakota St. 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.1 6.1 8.5 2.9 80.1 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.2 1.8 91.4 0.0%
South Dakota 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 3.0 93.9 0.0%
North Dakota 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 3.6 95.7 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.5 97.3 0.0%
Denver 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Oral Roberts 30.8% 0.7% 30.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 26.9% 0.5% 26.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 20.0% 0.6% 19.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 8.6% 0.5% 8.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 6.1% 1.3% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 4.4% 2.7% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 2.7% 2.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.1% 1.0 3.9 96.1
2nd Round 8.2% 0.1 91.8 8.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0