Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
121 North Dakota St. 100.0%   15   23 - 8 13 - 3 23 - 8 13 - 3 +3.3      +3.0 95 +0.3 164 64.5 292 +4.2 114 +5.4 2
129 South Dakota St. 0.0%   20 - 10 13 - 3 20 - 10 13 - 3 +2.7      +4.7 54 -2.0 241 68.6 192 +1.9 141 +5.6 1
138 Oral Roberts 0.0%   13 - 14 9 - 7 13 - 14 9 - 7 +1.9      +4.2 65 -2.3 251 72.9 75 -1.3 193 -2.0 5
178 South Dakota 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 6 17 - 12 10 - 6 -0.6      +3.7 73 -4.3 300 72.0 92 -0.4 177 +0.1 3
232 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   15 - 16 9 - 7 15 - 16 9 - 7 -3.9      +0.2 173 -4.1 297 70.8 127 -1.0 186 -1.1 4
241 North Dakota 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 9 12 - 18 7 - 9 -4.4      -0.5 195 -3.9 289 70.2 141 -3.0 217 -4.4 6
265 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 10 11 - 19 6 - 10 -5.9      -5.0 302 -1.0 207 68.4 197 -6.0 263 -6.0 7
311 Denver 0.0%   6 - 24 3 - 13 6 - 24 3 - 13 -8.5      -5.2 307 -3.3 278 74.1 57 -10.8 325 -11.7 8
334 Western Illinois 0.0%   3 - 21 2 - 14 3 - 21 2 - 14 -11.8      -3.4 260 -8.5 342 75.2 46 -14.7 343 -13.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 3.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4.0 100.0
North Dakota 6.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.0 100.0
Denver 8.0 100.0
Western Illinois 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Dakota St. 13 - 3 100.0
South Dakota St. 13 - 3 100.0
Oral Roberts 9 - 7 100.0
South Dakota 10 - 6 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 100.0
North Dakota 7 - 9 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6 - 10 100.0
Denver 3 - 13 100.0
Western Illinois 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
Oral Roberts
South Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
North Dakota
Purdue Fort Wayne
Denver
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 2.2 23.0 67.0 7.9
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Dakota St. 100.0% 0.3% 99.9% 10.8% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.9
2nd Round 10.8% 0.1 89.2 10.8
Sweet Sixteen 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0