Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
237 Texas Southern 100.0%   16   15 - 8 10 - 3 15 - 8 10 - 3 -5.0      -2.2 236 -2.8 250 76.5 34 -2.6 202 -7.2 3
248 Prairie View 0.0%   16 - 5 13 - 0 16 - 5 13 - 0 -5.6      -6.2 303 +0.5 156 70.9 129 -1.2 186 +4.2 1
267 Jackson St. 0.0%   12 - 6 11 - 0 12 - 6 11 - 0 -7.1      -10.1 340 +3.0 91 69.9 154 -3.2 212 +1.6 2
312 Southern 0.0%   8 - 11 8 - 6 8 - 11 8 - 6 -10.1      -8.0 326 -2.1 226 73.9 74 -14.1 331 -12.4 5
317 Grambling St. 0.0%   11 - 12 9 - 6 11 - 12 9 - 6 -10.9      -7.5 321 -3.4 266 72.1 99 -10.4 313 -10.7 4
339 Alcorn St. 0.0%   6 - 13 6 - 7 6 - 13 6 - 7 -15.1      -8.7 333 -6.4 317 71.6 117 -16.2 335 -15.9 6
341 Alabama A&M 0.0%   6 - 9 4 - 9 6 - 9 4 - 9 -16.0      -13.1 345 -2.9 255 67.7 209 -13.2 325 -17.5 7
342 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   4 - 21 3 - 12 4 - 21 3 - 12 -17.0      -8.6 332 -8.4 342 67.8 207 -19.8 340 -22.8 9
345 Alabama St. 0.0%   4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14 -19.4      -12.9 344 -6.5 321 72.5 95 -21.8 344 -21.8 8
347 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   2 - 22 2 - 13 2 - 22 2 - 13 -30.7      -16.6 347 -14.1 347 77.4 31 -23.6 347 -23.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 3.0 100.0
Prairie View 1.0 100.0
Jackson St. 2.0 100.0
Southern 5.0 100.0
Grambling St. 4.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 6.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 7.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9.0 100.0
Alabama St. 7.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 10 - 8 100.0
Prairie View 13 - 5 100.0
Jackson St. 11 - 7 100.0
Southern 8 - 10 100.0
Grambling St. 9 - 9 100.0
Alcorn St. 6 - 12 100.0
Alabama A&M 4 - 14 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 3 - 15 100.0
Alabama St. 4 - 14 100.0
Mississippi Valley 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern
Prairie View 100.0% 100.0
Jackson St.
Southern
Grambling St.
Alcorn St.
Alabama A&M
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Alabama St.
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   1.8 98.2
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 100.0% 92.2% 42.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 42.8% 0.4 57.2 42.8
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0