Pre-tourney Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#51
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#48
Pace75.8#46
Improvement-2.1#268

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#16
First Shot+7.2#16
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#100
Layup/Dunks+8.1#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#86
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement-0.7#216

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#109
First Shot+3.7#64
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#304
Layups/Dunks+4.0#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#17
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement-1.3#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round36.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 22 - 02 - 0
Quad 39 - 111 - 1
Quad 43 - 014 - 1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 02, 2021 181   Army W 101-57 89%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +41.3 +22.1 +16.4
  Jan 03, 2021 181   Army L 73-75 89%     1 - 1 1 - 1 -4.7 -3.3 -1.3
  Jan 09, 2021 207   @ Boston University W 86-79 86%     2 - 1 2 - 1 +5.6 +7.5 -2.2
  Jan 10, 2021 207   @ Boston University W 89-45 86%     3 - 1 3 - 1 +42.6 +16.3 +27.6
  Jan 16, 2021 246   Holy Cross W 95-55 94%     4 - 1 4 - 1 +32.8 +20.1 +13.9
  Jan 17, 2021 246   Holy Cross W 96-87 94%     5 - 1 5 - 1 +1.8 +5.0 -4.5
  Jan 30, 2021 246   @ Holy Cross W 74-63 OT 90%     6 - 1 6 - 1 +7.5 -7.9 +14.6
  Jan 31, 2021 246   @ Holy Cross W 78-60 90%     7 - 1 7 - 1 +14.5 +3.1 +11.7
  Feb 13, 2021 181   @ Army W 84-74 81%     8 - 1 8 - 1 +11.1 +8.4 +2.1
  Feb 14, 2021 181   @ Army W 92-83 81%     9 - 1 9 - 1 +10.1 +12.5 -3.2
  Feb 20, 2021 207   Boston University W 82-72 92%     10 - 1 10 - 1 +4.8 -0.9 +5.0
  Feb 21, 2021 207   Boston University W 78-63 92%     11 - 1 11 - 1 +9.8 +4.0 +6.4
  Mar 06, 2021 207   Boston University W 77-69 92%     12 - 1 +2.8 +0.2 +2.6
  Mar 10, 2021 259   Bucknell W 105-75 95%     13 - 1 +21.9 +19.7 +0.0
  Mar 14, 2021 190   Loyola Maryland W 85-72 90%     14 - 1 +9.0 +15.1 -5.7
Projected Record 14 - 1 11 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1 0.0%
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.8 31.2 50.4 12.6 0.2
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
5-7
4-8
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.8 31.2 50.4 12.6 0.2