Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#171
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#148
Pace65.0#278
Improvement+2.3#74

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#124
First Shot-1.7#231
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#11
Layup/Dunks+0.3#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#127
Freethrows-2.0#301
Improvement+3.1#31

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#218
First Shot-2.2#244
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#133
Layups/Dunks-0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#314
Freethrows+0.7#129
Improvement-0.8#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 412 - 116 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 7   @ Alabama L 57-81 4%     0 - 1 -4.3 -9.0 +6.8
  Nov 27, 2020 163   Florida Atlantic W 60-50 48%     1 - 1 +10.3 -7.8 +18.9
  Nov 29, 2020 197   @ South Alabama W 77-73 52%     2 - 1 +3.3 +6.9 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2020 295   @ Florida International L 70-74 74%     2 - 2 -10.7 -7.9 -2.7
  Dec 13, 2020 307   @ Tennessee Tech W 73-67 76%     3 - 2 1 - 0 -1.5 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 16, 2020 307   Tennessee Tech W 74-50 85%     4 - 2 2 - 0 +12.7 -6.7 +18.9
  Dec 30, 2020 337   Tennessee Martin W 80-70 92%     5 - 2 3 - 0 -6.1 -1.3 -4.7
  Jan 07, 2021 173   @ Eastern Kentucky L 66-69 OT 43%     5 - 3 3 - 1 -1.3 -12.9 +11.9
  Jan 09, 2021 130   @ Morehead St. L 55-56 34%     5 - 4 3 - 2 +3.3 -5.9 +9.0
  Jan 14, 2021 311   Tennessee St. W 65-64 86%     6 - 4 4 - 2 -11.0 -8.9 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2021 96   Belmont L 91-98 36%     6 - 5 4 - 3 -3.5 +13.0 -16.2
  Jan 21, 2021 174   @ Murray St. W 85-82 43%     7 - 5 5 - 3 +4.6 +13.1 -8.5
  Jan 23, 2021 208   @ Austin Peay W 76-70 55%     8 - 5 6 - 3 +4.6 +7.6 -2.4
  Jan 28, 2021 130   Morehead St. L 66-85 48%     8 - 6 6 - 4 -18.5 -2.0 -17.1
  Feb 02, 2021 173   Eastern Kentucky L 82-86 OT 58%     8 - 7 6 - 5 -6.1 +4.0 -9.9
  Feb 04, 2021 337   @ Tennessee Martin W 82-70 87%     9 - 7 7 - 5 -0.3 +7.9 -7.3
  Feb 06, 2021 264   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 66-54 68%     10 - 7 8 - 5 +6.9 -7.1 +14.1
  Feb 11, 2021 302   Eastern Illinois W 76-64 85%     11 - 7 9 - 5 +1.0 -3.8 +4.6
  Feb 13, 2021 313   SIU Edwardsville W 80-60 87%     12 - 7 10 - 5 +7.6 +9.2 +0.0
  Feb 18, 2021 96   @ Belmont L 59-63 24%     12 - 8 10 - 6 +3.3 -7.2 +10.1
  Feb 20, 2021 311   @ Tennessee St. W 77-76 78%     13 - 8 11 - 6 -7.2 +1.9 -9.1
  Feb 25, 2021 174   Murray St. W 87-74 58%     14 - 8 12 - 6 +10.8 +21.4 -9.3
  Feb 27, 2021 208   Austin Peay W 75-67 69%     15 - 8 13 - 6 +2.8 +2.3 +1.1
  Mar 04, 2021 174   Murray St. W 68-65 OT 51%     16 - 8 +2.7 -4.4 +7.1
  Mar 05, 2021 96   Belmont L 69-72 30%     16 - 9 +2.4 -4.5 +6.9
Projected Record 16 - 9 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6 0.0%
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6 100.0% 100.0
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%