Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#287
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#317
Pace69.9#153
Improvement-0.7#210

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#281
First Shot-5.3#299
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#131
Layup/Dunks-1.4#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#262
Freethrows-0.1#183
Improvement-1.7#269

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#270
First Shot-3.2#277
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#201
Layups/Dunks-6.0#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#155
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#45
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement+1.0#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 102 - 12
Quad 44 - 46 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 86   @ Pittsburgh W 80-70 7%     1 - 0 +18.6 +4.5 +13.3
  Nov 28, 2020 172   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-80 27%     1 - 1 -17.0 -8.4 -8.5
  Dec 01, 2020 16   @ Virginia L 51-76 2%     1 - 2 -8.4 -8.6 -2.8
  Dec 03, 2020 113   @ Liberty L 62-78 10%     1 - 3 -10.2 -7.1 -3.8
  Dec 08, 2020 203   @ Mount St. Mary's L 57-75 25%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -19.2 -6.1 -15.2
  Jan 07, 2021 253   @ LIU Brooklyn L 75-78 34%     1 - 5 0 - 2 -7.0 -10.2 +3.8
  Jan 08, 2021 253   @ LIU Brooklyn L 58-71 34%     1 - 6 0 - 3 -17.0 -16.7 +0.3
  Jan 14, 2021 178   Bryant W 89-82 29%     2 - 6 1 - 3 +4.4 -2.3 +5.4
  Jan 15, 2021 178   Bryant L 63-72 29%     2 - 7 1 - 4 -11.6 -12.4 +0.9
  Jan 21, 2021 304   @ Sacred Heart W 76-58 46%     3 - 7 2 - 4 +10.6 +2.0 +9.9
  Jan 22, 2021 304   @ Sacred Heart L 70-82 46%     3 - 8 2 - 5 -19.4 -14.5 -3.9
  Jan 26, 2021 271   Fairleigh Dickinson L 92-94 OT 54%     3 - 9 2 - 6 -11.3 -1.5 -9.4
  Jan 27, 2021 271   Fairleigh Dickinson W 90-82 54%     4 - 9 3 - 6 -1.3 +2.9 -4.7
  Jan 30, 2021 334   Central Connecticut St. W 62-59 75%     5 - 9 4 - 6 -12.4 -18.3 +5.9
  Jan 31, 2021 334   Central Connecticut St. L 77-85 75%     5 - 10 4 - 7 -23.4 +0.3 -24.0
  Feb 04, 2021 263   @ Merrimack L 62-68 37%     5 - 11 4 - 8 -10.9 -4.9 -6.4
  Feb 05, 2021 263   @ Merrimack L 54-59 37%     5 - 12 4 - 9 -9.9 -12.1 +1.7
  Feb 11, 2021 283   St. Francis Brooklyn L 67-70 56%     5 - 13 4 - 10 -12.9 -14.0 +1.1
  Feb 12, 2021 283   St. Francis Brooklyn W 80-66 56%     6 - 13 5 - 10 +4.1 +3.8 +1.3
  Feb 20, 2021 214   @ Wagner L 52-67 26%     6 - 14 5 - 11 -16.6 -18.4 +0.3
  Feb 21, 2021 214   @ Wagner L 68-70 26%     6 - 15 5 - 12 -3.6 +2.4 -6.3
  Feb 25, 2021 203   Mount St. Mary's L 65-72 OT 37%     6 - 16 5 - 13 -12.0 -10.8 -0.8
Projected Record 6 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%