Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#305
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.1#56
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.8% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 18.6% 34.1% 13.4%
.500 or above in Conference 25.0% 36.0% 21.3%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.6% 1.8%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round1.5% 2.3% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 72 - 9
Quad 47 - 79 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 225   @ Air Force L 74-81 25%    
  Dec 06, 2020 208   UC Riverside L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 09, 2020 169   @ Wyoming L 66-77 17%    
  Dec 12, 2020 337   Dixie St. W 70-61 80%    
  Dec 16, 2020 166   Northern Colorado L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 19, 2020 143   Texas St. L 67-74 28%    
  Dec 22, 2020 266   Northern Arizona W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 29, 2020 177   @ Grand Canyon L 71-81 18%    
  Jan 02, 2021 206   @ South Dakota L 74-82 24%    
  Jan 03, 2021 206   @ South Dakota L 74-82 24%    
  Jan 15, 2021 178   Oral Roberts L 78-82 36%    
  Jan 16, 2021 178   Oral Roberts L 78-82 36%    
  Jan 22, 2021 165   @ North Dakota St. L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 23, 2021 165   @ North Dakota St. L 67-78 19%    
  Jan 29, 2021 100   South Dakota St. L 73-83 20%    
  Jan 30, 2021 100   South Dakota St. L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 05, 2021 248   North Dakota W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 06, 2021 248   North Dakota W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 12, 2021 333   @ Western Illinois W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 13, 2021 333   @ Western Illinois W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 19, 2021 275   @ UMKC L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 20, 2021 275   @ UMKC L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 26, 2021 196   Nebraska Omaha L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 27, 2021 196   Nebraska Omaha L 76-79 40%    
Projected Record 9 - 15 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.2 2.1 0.3 10.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 4.5 5.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.8 6.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 19.1 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 6.7 7.3 4.6 1.3 0.1 22.9 8th
9th 1.5 4.4 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 17.7 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.5 4.7 8.3 11.3 12.6 13.2 12.5 11.0 8.6 6.4 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 89.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 85.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 55.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 18.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 32.9% 32.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 22.4% 22.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 0.7% 24.0% 24.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.6% 17.8% 17.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
11-5 2.9% 7.3% 7.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6
10-6 4.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.1
9-7 6.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.2
8-8 8.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.4
7-9 11.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 10.8
6-10 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.4
5-11 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-12 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
3-13 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
2-14 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
1-15 4.7% 4.7
0-16 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%