Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Kansas 100.0%   1   28 - 6 14 - 4 28 - 6 14 - 4 +18.1      +11.3 7 +6.8 26 72.1 74 +19.3 3 +19.6 2
6 Baylor 100.0%   1   26 - 6 14 - 4 26 - 6 14 - 4 +17.8      +10.3 8 +7.5 18 69.0 152 +18.7 4 +19.6 1
9 Texas Tech 100.0%   3   25 - 9 12 - 6 25 - 9 12 - 6 +17.4      +4.6 63 +12.8 1 66.4 225 +16.4 14 +16.4 3
18 Texas 99.6%   6   21 - 11 10 - 8 21 - 11 10 - 8 +13.9      +6.2 32 +7.7 15 60.4 343 +13.5 24 +13.9 4
29 Oklahoma 46.2%   12   18 - 15 7 - 11 18 - 15 7 - 11 +11.8      +5.6 42 +6.2 33 64.3 284 +10.8 45 +10.0 8
36 Oklahoma St. 0.0%   15 - 15 8 - 10 15 - 15 8 - 10 +10.9      +0.7 162 +10.3 5 70.2 114 +8.8 63 +11.5 6
39 TCU 96.8%   9   20 - 12 8 - 10 20 - 12 8 - 10 +10.8      +4.2 69 +6.6 27 65.9 246 +12.7 30 +11.5 5
55 Iowa St. 87.9%   10   20 - 12 7 - 11 20 - 12 7 - 11 +9.4      +0.9 153 +8.6 11 66.5 219 +12.8 28 +10.3 7
62 Kansas St. 0.0%   14 - 17 6 - 12 14 - 17 6 - 12 +8.8      +4.7 57 +4.1 68 66.7 213 +7.7 73 +8.9 9
69 West Virginia 0.0%   16 - 17 4 - 14 16 - 17 4 - 14 +8.3      +4.1 71 +4.2 63 69.9 116 +9.0 61 +5.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Baylor 1.0 100.0
Texas Tech 3.0 100.0
Texas 4.0 100.0
Oklahoma 7.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 5.0 100.0
TCU 5.0 100.0
Iowa St. 7.0 100.0
Kansas St. 9.0 100.0
West Virginia 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 14 - 4 100.0
Baylor 14 - 4 100.0
Texas Tech 12 - 6 100.0
Texas 10 - 8 100.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 100.0
Oklahoma St. 8 - 10 100.0
TCU 8 - 10 100.0
Iowa St. 7 - 11 100.0
Kansas St. 6 - 12 100.0
West Virginia 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Baylor 100.0% 100.0
Texas Tech
Texas
Oklahoma
Oklahoma St.
TCU
Iowa St.
Kansas St.
West Virginia


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   76.5 23.3 0.2
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   49.3 47.9 2.8 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   1.0 12.1 62.6 22.7 1.6 0.0 100.0%
Texas 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 6   0.4 3.5 25.5 41.2 23.6 4.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6%
Oklahoma 46.2% 0.0% 46.2% 12   0.0 0.0 0.1 6.8 37.4 1.8 53.9 46.2%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TCU 96.8% 0.0% 96.8% 9   0.0 0.8 9.1 35.3 37.1 13.3 1.1 0.0 3.2 96.8%
Iowa St. 87.9% 0.0% 87.9% 10   0.0 0.3 6.6 25.7 38.3 16.8 0.2 12.1 87.9%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
West Virginia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.6% 72.5% 47.0% 26.4% 13.2% 6.0%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.7% 70.8% 44.6% 23.7% 11.7% 5.3%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 92.6% 65.0% 35.2% 17.7% 8.6% 3.8%
Texas 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 65.2% 29.0% 11.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Oklahoma 46.2% 45.2% 27.8% 12.3% 5.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 96.8% 0.1% 96.8% 46.8% 10.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Iowa St. 87.9% 3.0% 86.3% 35.2% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.3 0.2 7.5 54.0 38.3
1st Round 100.0% 6.1 0.3 11.7 65.4 22.7
2nd Round 100.0% 4.4 0.1 1.6 13.3 37.1 35.6 11.3 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 98.8% 2.6 1.2 10.5 32.9 39.5 14.0 1.8 0.1
Elite Eight 86.7% 1.5 13.3 39.4 35.7 10.6 0.9 0.0
Final Four 60.1% 0.7 39.9 46.5 12.8 0.8 0.0
Final Game 33.4% 0.4 66.6 31.3 2.1
Champion 15.7% 0.2 84.3 15.7