Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Tech
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.4#9
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#14
Pace66.4#225
Improvement+1.2#129

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#63
First Shot+3.6#75
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#98
Layup/Dunks+5.0#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#265
Freethrows+1.5#66
Improvement-1.1#240

Defense
Total Defense+12.8#1
First Shot+12.6#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#163
Layups/Dunks+13.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement+2.3#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 13.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round92.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight35.2% n/a n/a
Final Four17.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game8.6% n/a n/a
National Champion3.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 55 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 48 - 9
Quad 27 - 015 - 9
Quad 31 - 016 - 9
Quad 49 - 025 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 266   North Florida W 89-74 98%     1 - 0 +6.8 +10.3 -4.0
  Nov 12, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +13.8 +10.4 +3.2
  Nov 15, 2021 300   Prairie View W 84-49 99%     3 - 0 +24.6 +4.5 +19.1
  Nov 20, 2021 353   Incarnate Word W 84-62 99%     4 - 0 +6.1 +5.9 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2021 346   Nebraska Omaha W 96-40 99%     5 - 0 +40.8 +17.1 +26.1
  Nov 27, 2021 347   Lamar W 89-57 99%     6 - 0 +16.3 +11.7 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2021 38   @ Providence L 68-72 66%     6 - 1 +9.1 +1.0 +8.0
  Dec 07, 2021 7   Tennessee W 57-52 OT 49%     7 - 1 +22.6 -9.8 +31.9
  Dec 14, 2021 191   Arkansas St. W 75-62 96%     8 - 1 +9.4 +8.5 +2.0
  Dec 18, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 55-69 26%     8 - 2 +9.9 -2.5 +11.3
  Dec 22, 2021 219   Eastern Washington W 78-46 97%     9 - 2 +26.9 +8.9 +21.4
  Dec 28, 2021 333   Alabama St. W 75-53 99%     10 - 2 +8.9 -7.1 +15.4
  Jan 05, 2022 55   @ Iowa St. L 47-51 71%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +7.6 -12.9 +20.3
  Jan 08, 2022 4   Kansas W 75-67 56%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +23.9 +12.4 +11.9
  Jan 11, 2022 6   @ Baylor W 65-62 40%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +23.0 +7.7 +15.6
  Jan 13, 2022 36   Oklahoma St. W 78-57 79%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +29.7 +14.7 +15.1
  Jan 15, 2022 62   @ Kansas St. L 51-62 73%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +0.0 -13.5 +12.9
  Jan 18, 2022 55   Iowa St. W 72-60 83%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +19.2 +8.2 +11.3
  Jan 22, 2022 69   West Virginia W 78-65 85%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +19.0 +8.6 +10.5
  Jan 24, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 91-94 2OT 39%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +17.3 +9.8 +8.1
  Jan 29, 2022 46   Mississippi St. W 76-50 82%     16 - 5 +33.8 +10.0 +24.7
  Feb 01, 2022 18   Texas W 77-64 71%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +24.7 +10.7 +14.0
  Feb 05, 2022 69   @ West Virginia W 60-53 75%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +17.5 -3.2 +21.1
  Feb 09, 2022 29   @ Oklahoma L 55-70 63%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -1.0 -5.7 +3.4
  Feb 12, 2022 39   TCU W 82-69 80%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +21.6 +11.6 +9.4
  Feb 16, 2022 6   Baylor W 83-73 57%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +25.6 +17.6 +8.1
  Feb 19, 2022 18   @ Texas W 61-55 55%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +22.2 +1.3 +21.3
  Feb 22, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 66-42 77%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +33.6 +3.2 +32.1
  Feb 26, 2022 39   @ TCU L 66-69 66%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +10.0 +4.9 +5.0
  Feb 28, 2022 62   Kansas St. W 73-68 84%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +11.6 +7.3 +4.6
  Mar 05, 2022 36   @ Oklahoma St. L 51-52 66%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +12.2 -4.3 +16.3
  Mar 10, 2022 55   Iowa St. W 72-41 77%     24 - 8 +40.4 +9.2 +31.9
  Mar 11, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 56-55 70%     25 - 8 +12.8 -3.8 +16.7
  Mar 12, 2022 4   Kansas L 65-74 47%     25 - 9 +9.1 -2.5 +11.8
Projected Record 25 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.1 1.0 12.1 62.6 22.7 1.6 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.1 1.0 12.1 62.6 22.7 1.6 0.0 100.0%