Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#127
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#160
Pace68.2#175
Improvement-4.1#322

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#66
First Shot+3.8#71
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#123
Layup/Dunks+1.1#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows+1.6#61
Improvement-2.5#299

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#226
First Shot+0.5#161
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#331
Layups/Dunks-3.0#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#128
Freethrows+1.0#100
Improvement-1.6#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 20 - 71 - 14
Quad 36 - 67 - 20
Quad 44 - 111 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 336   Bucknell W 88-70 93%     1 - 0 +4.3 +0.8 +2.8
  Nov 13, 2021 125   Colgate W 77-74 58%     2 - 0 +3.5 +10.8 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 79-65 93%     3 - 0 +0.4 +0.7 -0.2
  Nov 17, 2021 36   Oklahoma St. L 68-74 22%     3 - 1 +4.9 +2.1 +3.2
  Nov 21, 2021 209   Texas Southern W 65-57 76%     4 - 1 +3.4 -5.3 +8.9
  Nov 27, 2021 102   Louisiana Tech W 90-81 49%     5 - 1 +11.9 +20.4 -8.4
  Dec 01, 2021 116   Nebraska W 104-100 4OT 56%     6 - 1 +5.0 -3.3 +7.0
  Dec 04, 2021 119   Louisville L 68-73 57%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -4.0 -0.1 -4.2
  Dec 09, 2021 343   Bethune-Cookman W 65-48 94%     7 - 2 +2.3 -8.2 +12.1
  Dec 12, 2021 14   Purdue L 72-82 OT 11%     7 - 3 +6.2 -1.8 +8.7
  Dec 17, 2021 81   Richmond L 74-83 34%     7 - 4 -2.1 +3.8 -5.9
  Dec 21, 2021 166   Wright St. L 70-84 68%     7 - 5 -16.2 -7.8 -8.1
  Dec 29, 2021 54   @ Miami (FL) L 83-91 20%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +3.7 +11.6 -7.9
  Jan 01, 2022 106   Florida St. L 81-83 50%     7 - 7 0 - 3 +0.6 +8.5 -7.9
  Jan 04, 2022 22   @ Virginia Tech W 68-63 13%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +19.6 +13.1 +7.4
  Jan 08, 2022 76   Clemson L 65-70 39%     8 - 8 1 - 4 +0.6 -8.2 +9.0
  Jan 12, 2022 119   @ Louisville W 79-63 40%     9 - 8 2 - 4 +21.4 +18.4 +4.7
  Jan 15, 2022 13   @ Duke L 73-88 8%     9 - 9 2 - 5 +3.7 +7.8 -4.4
  Jan 19, 2022 22   Virginia Tech L 59-62 24%     9 - 10 2 - 6 +7.2 +0.5 +6.1
  Jan 22, 2022 77   Virginia W 77-63 39%     10 - 10 3 - 6 +19.6 +27.8 -4.7
  Jan 26, 2022 48   @ Notre Dame L 65-73 19%     10 - 11 3 - 7 +4.1 -3.0 +7.1
  Jan 29, 2022 28   @ North Carolina L 80-100 15%     10 - 12 3 - 8 -6.0 +7.2 -11.8
  Feb 02, 2022 65   Syracuse L 82-89 36%     10 - 13 3 - 9 -0.7 +11.3 -12.3
  Feb 05, 2022 48   Notre Dame L 57-69 31%     10 - 14 3 - 10 -4.3 -11.0 +6.2
  Feb 09, 2022 35   Wake Forest L 51-69 27%     10 - 15 3 - 11 -9.1 -15.0 +4.8
  Feb 12, 2022 165   @ Pittsburgh L 69-71 51%     10 - 16 3 - 12 +0.3 +2.5 -2.3
  Feb 15, 2022 142   @ Georgia Tech W 76-61 45%     11 - 16 4 - 12 +18.9 +5.9 +12.7
  Feb 23, 2022 120   Boston College L 61-69 57%     11 - 17 4 - 13 -7.0 -3.3 -4.7
  Feb 26, 2022 28   North Carolina L 74-84 25%     11 - 18 4 - 14 -0.4 +4.0 -4.3
  Mar 02, 2022 35   @ Wake Forest L 76-101 16%     11 - 19 4 - 15 -11.7 +8.2 -19.5
  Mar 05, 2022 106   @ Florida St. L 76-89 34%     11 - 20 4 - 16 -6.0 +8.0 -14.2
  Mar 08, 2022 76   Clemson L 64-70 31%     11 - 21 +1.8 -6.0 +7.8
Projected Record 11 - 21 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%