Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#249
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#205
Pace60.5#342
Improvement-2.3#273

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#288
First Shot-1.9#243
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#338
Layup/Dunks+0.4#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#115
Freethrows-2.0#315
Improvement+0.8#146

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#186
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#172
Layups/Dunks-2.1#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#34
Freethrows-2.7#330
Improvement-3.1#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 21 - 41 - 11
Quad 32 - 63 - 17
Quad 48 - 111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 202   South Dakota L 53-59 39%     0 - 1 -7.9 -19.7 +11.4
  Nov 13, 2021 154   @ Tulsa W 59-58 23%     1 - 1 +4.0 -4.6 +8.8
  Nov 17, 2021 209   Texas Southern W 61-57 49%     2 - 1 -0.6 -4.6 +4.4
  Nov 20, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 72-53 78%     3 - 1 +6.1 -0.5 +8.1
  Nov 21, 2021 343   Bethune-Cookman W 73-65 77%     4 - 1 -4.5 +3.5 -7.1
  Nov 24, 2021 295   Denver W 66-65 70%     5 - 1 -9.2 -7.1 -1.9
  Nov 27, 2021 327   Idaho St. W 59-48 77%     6 - 1 -1.8 -11.8 +11.7
  Dec 04, 2021 289   Army W 76-58 69%     7 - 1 +8.1 -3.5 +11.0
  Dec 08, 2021 236   @ Montana L 48-66 38%     7 - 2 -19.7 -21.4 -0.1
  Dec 19, 2021 191   @ Arkansas St. L 46-68 29%     7 - 3 -21.2 -19.8 -3.6
  Dec 21, 2021 216   @ Tarleton St. L 45-67 33%     7 - 4 -22.4 -16.9 -10.4
  Dec 29, 2021 58   Utah St. W 49-47 14%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +9.0 -12.4 +21.7
  Jan 04, 2022 44   @ Colorado St. L 59-67 6%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +4.7 +0.8 +2.5
  Jan 15, 2022 110   Nevada L 68-75 26%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -5.3 -1.4 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2022 37   @ Boise St. L 56-62 6%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +7.1 -1.4 +7.7
  Jan 20, 2022 86   UNLV W 69-62 19%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +11.3 +5.3 +6.6
  Jan 22, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 53-73 11%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -11.7 -16.2 +3.8
  Jan 25, 2022 275   @ San Jose St. W 63-53 48%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +5.7 +0.2 +7.5
  Jan 28, 2022 74   Wyoming L 61-63 16%     10 - 9 3 - 5 +3.8 -0.8 +4.3
  Feb 01, 2022 58   @ Utah St. L 46-73 7%     10 - 10 3 - 6 -15.6 -17.5 -0.1
  Feb 05, 2022 155   New Mexico L 77-91 37%     10 - 11 3 - 7 -15.6 -1.9 -13.0
  Feb 08, 2022 86   @ UNLV L 44-78 11%     10 - 12 3 - 8 -25.3 -15.1 -17.3
  Feb 12, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. L 64-76 5%     10 - 13 3 - 9 +2.3 +11.0 -10.1
  Feb 16, 2022 37   Boise St. L 59-85 11%     10 - 14 3 - 10 -17.3 +1.1 -22.3
  Feb 19, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 67-75 9%     10 - 15 3 - 11 +2.3 +8.5 -7.4
  Feb 22, 2022 84   Fresno St. L 40-65 19%     10 - 16 3 - 12 -20.4 -18.8 -7.3
  Feb 26, 2022 155   @ New Mexico L 65-69 23%     10 - 17 3 - 13 -1.1 -4.0 +2.6
  Mar 01, 2022 275   San Jose St. W 58-54 65%     11 - 17 4 - 13 -4.7 -19.9 +15.2
  Mar 09, 2022 58   Utah St. L 56-83 10%     11 - 18 -17.8 -9.2 -10.0
Projected Record 11 - 18 4 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%