Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#333
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#338
Pace73.3#57
Improvement-1.7#240

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#301
First Shot-4.0#291
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#254
Layup/Dunks-2.0#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#317
Freethrows-0.9#257
Improvement+2.4#66

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#329
First Shot-3.4#277
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#346
Layups/Dunks+0.1#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#288
Freethrows-2.5#324
Improvement-4.1#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 8
Quad 30 - 20 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 115   @ Western Kentucky L 74-79 7%     0 - 1 +0.8 -6.1 +7.4
  Nov 10, 2021 60   @ Vanderbilt L 72-91 3%     0 - 2 -7.8 -1.0 -4.9
  Nov 13, 2021 75   @ Missouri St. L 60-78 4%     0 - 3 -7.9 -13.8 +6.9
  Nov 16, 2021 55   @ Iowa St. L 60-68 3%     0 - 4 +3.6 -6.3 +10.3
  Nov 18, 2021 10   @ Iowa L 82-108 1%     0 - 5 -6.5 +9.9 -15.0
  Nov 20, 2021 307   NC Central W 80-74 OT 51%     1 - 5 -5.2 -11.7 +5.4
  Nov 28, 2021 320   North Alabama L 69-81 56%     1 - 6 -24.3 -10.2 -13.5
  Dec 01, 2021 63   @ Dayton L 54-93 3%     1 - 7 -28.0 -11.4 -17.5
  Dec 08, 2021 192   Samford L 64-74 24%     1 - 8 -13.6 -19.6 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine L 62-79 25%     1 - 9 -20.8 -14.4 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2021 18   @ Texas L 48-68 1%     1 - 10 -3.8 -12.2 +6.8
  Dec 28, 2021 9   @ Texas Tech L 53-75 1%     1 - 11 -2.4 -7.5 +5.7
  Jan 03, 2022 356   @ Mississippi Valley W 84-75 67%     2 - 11 1 - 0 -6.4 +0.2 -6.9
  Jan 05, 2022 354   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 68-70 63%     2 - 12 1 - 1 -16.4 -7.7 -8.9
  Jan 08, 2022 292   Jackson St. W 72-57 47%     3 - 12 2 - 1 +4.9 +1.1 +4.5
  Jan 10, 2022 283   Alcorn St. L 60-70 45%     3 - 13 2 - 2 -19.6 -15.3 -4.5
  Jan 15, 2022 332   Alabama A&M W 59-55 58%     4 - 13 3 - 2 -9.1 -6.6 -1.9
  Jan 22, 2022 300   @ Prairie View L 67-70 32%     4 - 14 3 - 3 -9.0 -10.7 +1.8
  Jan 24, 2022 209   @ Texas Southern L 66-73 16%     4 - 15 3 - 4 -7.2 -7.4 +0.6
  Jan 29, 2022 343   Bethune-Cookman W 79-73 56%     5 - 15 4 - 4 -6.5 +3.6 -9.9
  Jan 31, 2022 314   Florida A&M L 65-66 55%     5 - 16 4 - 5 -13.1 -2.3 -10.9
  Feb 05, 2022 318   @ Grambling St. W 80-72 38%     6 - 16 5 - 5 +0.2 -1.4 +1.0
  Feb 07, 2022 239   @ Southern L 58-72 20%     6 - 17 5 - 6 -16.0 -14.3 -1.2
  Feb 12, 2022 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-75 78%     6 - 18 5 - 7 -23.8 -14.3 -9.6
  Feb 14, 2022 356   Mississippi Valley L 71-85 80%     6 - 19 5 - 8 -33.8 -9.4 -25.0
  Feb 19, 2022 314   @ Florida A&M L 83-86 OT 38%     6 - 20 5 - 9 -10.6 -0.9 -9.4
  Feb 21, 2022 343   @ Bethune-Cookman W 89-78 48%     7 - 20 6 - 9 +0.7 +10.0 -9.6
  Feb 26, 2022 332   @ Alabama A&M L 65-80 41%     7 - 21 6 - 10 -23.6 -8.2 -14.9
  Mar 03, 2022 239   Southern W 77-67 33%     8 - 21 7 - 10 +3.6 -2.3 +5.0
  Mar 05, 2022 318   Grambling St. W 78-75 55%     9 - 21 8 - 10 -9.2 +1.5 -10.7
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%