Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#328
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#318
Pace64.1#293
Improvement+3.8#53

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#323
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#328
Layup/Dunks+4.2#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#335
Freethrows-2.3#327
Improvement-0.4#205

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#308
First Shot-4.6#313
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#205
Layups/Dunks-6.8#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#79
Freethrows+0.6#133
Improvement+4.3#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 30 - 80 - 11
Quad 410 - 1110 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 225   Marist W 77-73 OT 30%     1 - 0 -1.4 -5.8 +4.0
  Nov 12, 2021 338   @ William & Mary W 74-62 45%     2 - 0 +2.5 -5.9 +7.6
  Nov 16, 2021 150   @ Georgetown L 57-79 10%     2 - 1 -18.7 -19.2 +1.9
  Nov 19, 2021 156   @ Longwood L 42-82 11%     2 - 2 -37.2 -25.9 -16.1
  Nov 20, 2021 301   Western Carolina L 79-80 41%     2 - 3 -9.3 +2.8 -12.2
  Nov 23, 2021 238   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67-98 20%     2 - 4 -32.7 -7.7 -25.8
  Nov 28, 2021 267   @ Duquesne L 79-88 25%     2 - 5 -12.8 +2.2 -14.9
  Dec 01, 2021 243   @ Stony Brook L 57-80 21%     2 - 6 -25.3 -18.8 -7.3
  Dec 04, 2021 260   @ Howard L 56-90 24%     2 - 7 -37.4 -20.5 -15.5
  Dec 08, 2021 325   St. Francis (PA) W 83-73 58%     3 - 7 -2.7 +9.8 -11.8
  Dec 11, 2021 250   @ Mount St. Mary's W 72-66 OT 22%     4 - 7 +3.3 -1.3 +4.5
  Dec 21, 2021 118   @ George Mason L 44-67 8%     4 - 8 -17.6 -17.3 -5.1
  Jan 01, 2022 290   Lehigh L 61-63 47%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -11.9 -12.1 +0.0
  Jan 10, 2022 218   Boston University L 53-79 29%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -31.0 -21.9 -10.7
  Jan 16, 2022 336   Bucknell W 63-55 61%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -5.7 -8.2 +4.1
  Jan 19, 2022 289   @ Army L 66-76 31%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -15.5 -9.4 -6.0
  Jan 22, 2022 271   @ Loyola Maryland L 73-78 26%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -9.1 +20.1 -30.6
  Jan 24, 2022 310   Lafayette L 56-69 54%     5 - 13 1 - 5 -24.8 -15.7 -11.1
  Jan 26, 2022 344   Holy Cross W 67-49 66%     6 - 13 2 - 5 +2.9 -2.1 +7.7
  Jan 29, 2022 197   @ Navy L 45-47 15%     6 - 14 2 - 6 -1.5 -17.0 +15.2
  Feb 02, 2022 310   @ Lafayette L 62-71 37%     6 - 15 2 - 7 -16.4 -10.3 -6.8
  Feb 05, 2022 125   Colgate L 68-86 15%     6 - 16 2 - 8 -17.5 +1.6 -21.3
  Feb 09, 2022 336   @ Bucknell L 66-68 44%     6 - 17 2 - 9 -11.2 -5.6 -5.9
  Feb 12, 2022 218   @ Boston University L 67-85 17%     6 - 18 2 - 10 -18.6 -11.2 -6.7
  Feb 14, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 60-54 50%     7 - 18 3 - 10 -4.7 -10.5 +6.4
  Feb 16, 2022 197   Navy L 46-55 26%     7 - 19 3 - 11 -12.9 -20.0 +6.3
  Feb 19, 2022 289   Army W 83-67 47%     8 - 19 4 - 11 +6.1 +5.7 +0.3
  Feb 21, 2022 125   @ Colgate L 49-63 8%     8 - 20 4 - 12 -9.1 -18.5 +8.0
  Feb 23, 2022 290   @ Lehigh L 61-78 31%     8 - 21 4 - 13 -22.5 -12.4 -10.9
  Feb 26, 2022 271   Loyola Maryland W 65-55 42%     9 - 21 5 - 13 +1.5 -1.6 +4.4
  Mar 01, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 69-63 50%     10 - 21 -4.7 -3.4 -0.9
  Mar 03, 2022 197   @ Navy L 64-71 15%     10 - 22 -6.5 -1.7 -5.0
Projected Record 10 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%