Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#296
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#262
Pace63.3#314
Improvement-1.3#228

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#330
First Shot-6.1#328
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks-5.9#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#133
Freethrows-2.1#318
Improvement-3.8#334

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#230
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#317
Layups/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#110
Freethrows-1.8#302
Improvement+2.5#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 5
Quad 20 - 31 - 8
Quad 31 - 22 - 10
Quad 48 - 710 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 124   @ Southern Illinois L 55-73 11%     0 - 1 -12.9 -6.9 -8.3
  Nov 16, 2021 220   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 60-65 24%     0 - 2 -5.7 -8.6 +2.6
  Nov 20, 2021 63   @ Dayton W 87-81 5%     1 - 2 +17.0 +16.3 +0.4
  Nov 26, 2021 260   @ Howard W 69-67 33%     2 - 2 -1.4 -7.9 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2021 39   @ TCU L 51-68 4%     2 - 3 -4.0 -6.5 +0.0
  Dec 11, 2021 266   @ North Florida L 84-91 34%     2 - 4 -10.8 +10.8 -21.7
  Dec 14, 2021 231   @ South Florida L 51-60 26%     2 - 5 -10.4 -14.7 +4.0
  Dec 18, 2021 60   @ Vanderbilt L 51-77 5%     2 - 6 -14.8 -9.1 -8.6
  Dec 30, 2021 313   Tennessee Martin L 62-65 65%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -14.9 -20.1 +5.4
  Jan 01, 2022 245   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 79-98 30%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -21.5 -5.8 -13.7
  Jan 08, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 55-66 23%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -11.1 -12.9 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2022 313   @ Tennessee Martin W 72-57 48%     3 - 9 1 - 3 +7.5 -1.0 +9.2
  Jan 22, 2022 278   @ Tennessee St. L 61-65 36%     3 - 10 1 - 4 -8.4 -9.4 +0.7
  Jan 27, 2022 91   Belmont L 67-75 13%     3 - 11 1 - 5 -4.0 -2.7 -1.4
  Jan 29, 2022 272   @ Tennessee Tech W 58-55 35%     4 - 11 2 - 5 -1.1 -9.7 +9.0
  Jan 31, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 68-63 2OT 62%     5 - 11 3 - 5 -6.2 -9.8 +3.4
  Feb 03, 2022 56   Murray St. L 53-65 9%     5 - 12 3 - 6 -4.8 -8.4 +1.8
  Feb 05, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. L 52-77 13%     5 - 13 3 - 7 -20.7 -10.6 -13.4
  Feb 07, 2022 91   @ Belmont L 58-72 7%     5 - 14 3 - 8 -5.6 -0.2 -8.0
  Feb 10, 2022 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-66 46%     6 - 14 4 - 8 +1.1 +2.8 -0.9
  Feb 12, 2022 278   Tennessee St. W 54-52 53%     7 - 14 5 - 8 -6.8 -14.0 +7.6
  Feb 14, 2022 355   Eastern Illinois W 62-54 86%     8 - 14 6 - 8 -11.4 -13.9 +2.7
  Feb 17, 2022 56   @ Murray St. L 56-91 4%     8 - 15 6 - 9 -23.4 -6.7 -19.6
  Feb 19, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech L 69-73 52%     8 - 16 6 - 10 -12.5 -8.8 -3.7
  Feb 24, 2022 308   @ SIU Edwardsville W 68-64 OT 45%     9 - 16 7 - 10 -2.8 -9.7 +6.7
  Feb 26, 2022 355   @ Eastern Illinois W 64-52 75%     10 - 16 8 - 10 -3.0 -1.3 +0.2
  Mar 02, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech L 51-78 44%     10 - 17 -33.3 -25.9 -7.4
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%