Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#254
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Pace74.1#46
Improvement+1.9#101

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#203
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#318
Layup/Dunks-0.8#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#80
Freethrows+1.4#76
Improvement-1.0#234

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#281
First Shot-1.8#228
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#333
Layups/Dunks+0.2#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#308
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement+3.0#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 31 - 82 - 13
Quad 411 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 258   @ Georgia Southern L 71-82 42%     0 - 1 -14.1 -1.9 -12.0
  Nov 13, 2021 346   Nebraska Omaha W 73-69 83%     1 - 1 -11.2 -8.8 -2.3
  Nov 18, 2021 264   Florida International L 60-73 53%     1 - 2 -18.9 -16.4 -2.2
  Nov 19, 2021 170   Weber St. L 74-85 32%     1 - 3 -11.3 -5.4 -5.0
  Nov 21, 2021 171   Massachusetts W 89-86 32%     2 - 3 +2.7 +3.3 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2021 223   Indiana St. W 97-75 51%     3 - 3 +16.7 +19.8 -3.9
  Dec 01, 2021 242   @ Western Illinois L 80-93 39%     3 - 4 -15.3 +1.2 -15.8
  Dec 08, 2021 50   @ Xavier L 50-96 6%     3 - 5 -34.0 -24.8 -2.7
  Dec 18, 2021 178   @ Illinois St. L 64-85 26%     3 - 6 -19.4 -10.1 -9.2
  Dec 21, 2021 355   Eastern Illinois W 75-55 90%     4 - 6 +0.6 +1.9 +0.0
  Jan 01, 2022 273   Bowling Green W 81-80 63%     5 - 6 1 - 0 -7.6 -4.1 -3.5
  Jan 04, 2022 135   Kent St. L 65-66 32%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -1.1 -4.8 +3.7
  Jan 08, 2022 304   @ Eastern Michigan W 78-72 55%     6 - 7 2 - 1 -0.4 -2.9 +2.1
  Jan 11, 2022 128   @ Akron L 74-84 18%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -5.3 +3.5 -9.0
  Jan 14, 2022 121   Buffalo L 68-74 28%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -5.1 -7.7 +2.8
  Jan 18, 2022 80   @ Toledo L 70-83 10%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -3.7 -3.6 +0.4
  Jan 25, 2022 248   Miami (OH) W 81-64 57%     7 - 10 3 - 4 +10.1 +6.2 +4.8
  Jan 27, 2022 282   @ Northern Illinois W 74-67 50%     8 - 10 4 - 4 +1.9 +2.1 -0.1
  Jan 29, 2022 309   Western Michigan W 83-72 73%     9 - 10 5 - 4 -0.5 +9.8 -9.6
  Feb 01, 2022 123   @ Ohio L 63-87 17%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -18.8 -9.3 -8.7
  Feb 04, 2022 80   Toledo W 93-83 17%     10 - 11 6 - 5 +14.9 +16.9 -2.4
  Feb 08, 2022 299   Central Michigan L 85-89 OT 70%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -14.4 +0.8 -15.0
  Feb 12, 2022 121   @ Buffalo L 74-80 17%     10 - 13 6 - 7 -0.7 -4.5 +4.3
  Feb 15, 2022 282   Northern Illinois L 58-64 66%     10 - 14 6 - 8 -15.5 -17.8 +2.4
  Feb 19, 2022 273   @ Bowling Green W 91-82 46%     11 - 14 7 - 8 +4.8 -2.8 +6.1
  Feb 22, 2022 135   @ Kent St. L 82-93 19%     11 - 15 7 - 9 -6.7 +7.6 -13.5
  Feb 26, 2022 304   Eastern Michigan W 75-64 71%     12 - 15 8 - 9 +0.2 +2.6 -1.7
  Mar 01, 2022 128   Akron L 60-79 30%     12 - 16 8 - 10 -18.7 -10.8 -8.8
  Mar 04, 2022 309   @ Western Michigan W 64-63 58%     13 - 16 9 - 10 -6.1 -11.5 +5.4
  Mar 10, 2022 123   Ohio L 67-77 22%     13 - 17 -7.1 -2.5 -4.8
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%