Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#37
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#27
Pace63.7#307
Improvement+1.6#113

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#77
First Shot+1.6#126
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#38
Layup/Dunks+3.3#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
Freethrows+0.9#105
Improvement+4.4#18

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#23
First Shot+4.7#43
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#24
Layups/Dunks+1.8#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#81
Freethrows+2.0#51
Improvement-2.8#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 2.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 66.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round53.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 12 - 1
Quad 1b4 - 26 - 3
Quad 27 - 313 - 6
Quad 37 - 020 - 6
Quad 46 - 126 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 133   Utah Valley W 76-56 85%     1 - 0 +20.0 +7.1 +13.4
  Nov 13, 2021 139   @ UC Irvine L 50-58 74%     1 - 1 -3.8 -13.9 +9.5
  Nov 18, 2021 82   St. Bonaventure L 61-67 65%     1 - 2 +0.9 +0.7 -0.7
  Nov 19, 2021 111   Temple W 82-62 75%     2 - 2 +23.9 +22.5 +3.6
  Nov 21, 2021 99   Mississippi W 60-50 71%     3 - 2 +15.3 -7.6 +23.3
  Nov 26, 2021 263   Cal St. Bakersfield L 39-46 95%     3 - 3 -15.1 -32.3 +16.3
  Nov 30, 2021 67   Saint Louis L 82-86 OT 68%     3 - 4 +2.1 +5.4 -3.0
  Dec 03, 2021 154   Tulsa W 63-58 87%     4 - 4 +3.6 -8.8 +12.5
  Dec 07, 2021 322   @ Cal St. Northridge W 74-48 95%     5 - 4 +18.1 +4.5 +16.2
  Dec 10, 2021 300   Prairie View W 97-60 97%     6 - 4 +26.6 +6.2 +15.2
  Dec 14, 2021 71   Santa Clara W 72-60 68%     7 - 4 +18.0 -0.7 +18.7
  Dec 22, 2021 51   Washington St. W 58-52 55%     8 - 4 +15.6 -4.7 +20.8
  Dec 28, 2021 84   Fresno St. W 65-55 73%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +14.6 +8.8 +7.6
  Jan 12, 2022 110   @ Nevada W 85-70 68%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +21.1 +8.4 +11.6
  Jan 15, 2022 155   @ New Mexico W 71-63 78%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +10.9 +2.1 +9.2
  Jan 18, 2022 249   Air Force W 62-56 94%     12 - 4 4 - 0 -1.1 -4.2 +3.9
  Jan 20, 2022 58   @ Utah St. W 62-59 48%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +14.4 +1.1 +13.7
  Jan 22, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. W 42-37 37%     14 - 4 6 - 0 +19.3 -12.2 +32.1
  Jan 25, 2022 74   Wyoming W 65-62 69%     15 - 4 7 - 0 +8.8 +1.7 +7.4
  Jan 28, 2022 84   @ Fresno St. W 68-63 OT 57%     16 - 4 8 - 0 +14.0 +5.6 +8.7
  Feb 03, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 65-72 52%     16 - 5 8 - 1 +3.3 +3.8 -1.3
  Feb 05, 2022 275   San Jose St. W 76-60 96%     17 - 5 9 - 1 +7.3 -0.1 +7.8
  Feb 11, 2022 86   UNLV W 69-63 74%     18 - 5 10 - 1 +10.3 +6.6 +4.3
  Feb 13, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 74-77 OT 60%     18 - 6 10 - 2 +5.3 +7.0 -1.9
  Feb 16, 2022 249   @ Air Force W 85-59 89%     19 - 6 11 - 2 +23.3 +25.8 +1.5
  Feb 19, 2022 58   Utah St. W 68-57 65%     20 - 6 12 - 2 +18.0 +4.6 +14.4
  Feb 22, 2022 26   San Diego St. W 58-57 54%     21 - 6 13 - 2 +10.8 +5.0 +6.0
  Feb 26, 2022 86   @ UNLV W 86-76 59%     22 - 6 14 - 2 +18.7 +22.3 -3.0
  Mar 01, 2022 110   Nevada W 73-67 81%     23 - 6 15 - 2 +7.7 +2.3 +5.6
  Mar 05, 2022 44   @ Colorado St. L 68-71 43%     23 - 7 15 - 3 +9.7 +9.4 -0.1
  Mar 10, 2022 110   Nevada W 71-69 75%     24 - 7 +5.9 +1.4 +4.6
  Mar 11, 2022 74   Wyoming W 68-61 61%     25 - 7 +15.1 +1.4 +13.9
  Mar 12, 2022 26   San Diego St. W 53-52 46%     26 - 7 +13.0 +0.5 +12.7
Projected Record 26 - 7 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.1 0.1 1.9 21.2 43.6 29.7 3.3 0.1 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.1 0.1 1.9 21.2 43.6 29.7 3.3 0.1 0.0