Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#121
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#139
Pace76.6#20
Improvement-2.0#253

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#100
First Shot+0.6#158
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#35
Layup/Dunks+2.3#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#206
Freethrows-1.2#281
Improvement-2.7#304

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#166
First Shot+1.8#116
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#312
Layups/Dunks-2.2#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#21
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+0.7#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 32 - 44 - 9
Quad 413 - 217 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 24   @ Michigan L 76-88 15%     0 - 1 +2.4 +5.0 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2021 72   @ North Texas W 69-66 24%     1 - 1 +13.4 +9.4 +4.3
  Nov 20, 2021 229   Rider W 87-65 80%     2 - 1 +16.3 +2.7 +11.2
  Nov 23, 2021 117   Stephen F. Austin L 78-79 49%     2 - 2 +2.2 +2.0 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2021 178   Illinois St. W 106-90 64%     3 - 2 +15.4 +21.5 -7.6
  Dec 04, 2021 82   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-68 28%     3 - 3 +6.1 -2.6 +8.7
  Dec 08, 2021 115   @ Western Kentucky W 77-67 40%     4 - 3 +15.8 +6.5 +9.4
  Dec 18, 2021 261   @ Canisius L 64-65 74%     4 - 4 -4.6 -10.5 +5.9
  Dec 29, 2021 248   Miami (OH) L 81-91 83%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -16.9 -7.5 -8.4
  Jan 01, 2022 128   @ Akron L 76-88 44%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -7.3 +3.8 -11.0
  Jan 05, 2022 273   Bowling Green W 99-88 86%     5 - 6 1 - 2 +2.4 +9.0 -7.7
  Jan 11, 2022 309   @ Western Michigan W 78-64 83%     6 - 6 2 - 2 +6.9 +5.3 +2.4
  Jan 14, 2022 254   @ Ball St. W 74-68 72%     7 - 6 3 - 2 +3.1 -3.9 +6.8
  Jan 21, 2022 135   Kent St. W 64-51 62%     8 - 6 4 - 2 +12.9 -2.7 +16.5
  Jan 25, 2022 80   @ Toledo L 75-86 28%     8 - 7 4 - 3 -1.7 -1.2 +0.3
  Jan 28, 2022 123   Ohio L 53-74 59%     8 - 8 4 - 4 -20.3 -15.0 -7.0
  Feb 05, 2022 299   @ Central Michigan W 74-54 80%     9 - 8 5 - 4 +14.0 -3.3 +16.9
  Feb 08, 2022 304   Eastern Michigan W 102-64 90%     10 - 8 6 - 4 +27.2 +22.7 +3.5
  Feb 12, 2022 254   Ball St. W 80-74 83%     11 - 8 7 - 4 -1.3 -5.4 +3.5
  Feb 15, 2022 273   @ Bowling Green W 112-85 76%     12 - 8 8 - 4 +22.8 +14.0 +4.1
  Feb 17, 2022 304   @ Eastern Michigan W 83-69 81%     13 - 8 9 - 4 +7.6 +4.1 +2.8
  Feb 19, 2022 309   Western Michigan W 87-73 91%     14 - 8 10 - 4 +2.5 +8.6 -6.0
  Feb 22, 2022 248   @ Miami (OH) W 86-84 70%     15 - 8 11 - 4 -0.5 +3.0 -3.6
  Feb 24, 2022 282   @ Northern Illinois W 79-68 78%     16 - 8 12 - 4 +5.9 +5.1 +0.7
  Feb 26, 2022 282   Northern Illinois W 70-60 88%     17 - 8 13 - 4 +0.5 -2.1 +3.0
  Mar 01, 2022 80   Toledo L 76-92 43%     17 - 9 13 - 5 -11.1 +3.2 -14.4
  Mar 04, 2022 135   @ Kent St. L 65-70 45%     17 - 10 13 - 6 -0.7 -2.6 +1.8
  Mar 10, 2022 128   Akron L 68-70 52%     17 - 11 +0.5 -2.8 +3.2
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%