Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#297
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#312
Pace63.4#310
Improvement+0.7#151

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#333
First Shot-6.1#329
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#215
Layup/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#319
Freethrows+2.2#29
Improvement+0.5#162

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#218
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#290
Layups/Dunks+3.7#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#279
Freethrows-3.2#345
Improvement+0.2#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 45 - 86 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 149   North Dakota St. L 57-60 25%     0 - 1 -4.1 -9.2 +4.7
  Nov 15, 2021 303   Sacramento St. L 57-58 60%     0 - 2 -11.8 -12.0 +0.0
  Nov 19, 2021 71   @ Santa Clara L 57-87 5%     0 - 3 -19.6 -13.4 -6.2
  Nov 22, 2021 224   Nicholls St. L 72-75 OT 32%     0 - 4 -6.1 -8.7 +2.8
  Nov 24, 2021 321   Idaho W 67-63 58%     1 - 4 -6.1 -11.7 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2021 226   @ California Baptist L 55-64 25%     1 - 5 -10.1 -9.3 -2.1
  Dec 05, 2021 208   @ San Diego L 51-52 22%     1 - 6 -1.1 -8.1 +6.7
  Dec 11, 2021 244   @ Portland St. W 61-58 29%     2 - 6 +0.6 -10.4 +11.0
  Dec 13, 2021 169   @ Portland L 77-78 17%     2 - 7 +0.9 +8.8 -7.9
  Dec 17, 2021 84   @ Fresno St. L 48-83 6%     2 - 8 -26.0 -10.5 -20.7
  Jan 08, 2022 322   @ Cal St. Northridge L 55-68 49%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -20.9 -13.1 -9.9
  Jan 13, 2022 173   UC Riverside L 46-57 30%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -13.5 -21.6 +6.8
  Jan 15, 2022 213   UC Davis W 82-74 37%     3 - 10 1 - 2 +3.2 +11.3 -7.8
  Jan 18, 2022 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 60-73 33%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -16.7 -9.0 -8.8
  Jan 22, 2022 164   Hawaii L 56-69 28%     3 - 12 1 - 4 -15.1 -14.5 -1.2
  Jan 27, 2022 256   @ UC San Diego W 59-55 31%     4 - 12 2 - 4 +1.0 -21.8 +22.5
  Jan 29, 2022 139   @ UC Irvine L 48-72 13%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -19.8 -15.6 -6.2
  Feb 03, 2022 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 50-61 15%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -7.8 -18.5 +10.0
  Feb 05, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 65-78 14%     4 - 15 2 - 7 -9.6 -11.6 +3.1
  Feb 10, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge L 78-83 2OT 66%     4 - 16 2 - 8 -17.3 -7.7 -9.2
  Feb 12, 2022 130   UC Santa Barbara L 64-69 22%     4 - 17 2 - 9 -4.8 -1.2 -4.2
  Feb 19, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside L 58-78 17%     4 - 18 2 - 10 -18.1 -11.2 -7.4
  Feb 22, 2022 263   Cal St. Bakersfield L 60-61 50%     4 - 19 2 - 11 -9.1 -8.3 -0.9
  Feb 24, 2022 164   @ Hawaii L 54-63 17%     4 - 20 2 - 12 -6.7 -10.9 +3.2
  Mar 03, 2022 139   UC Irvine W 65-54 23%     5 - 20 3 - 12 +10.7 +3.9 +8.3
  Mar 05, 2022 256   UC San Diego W 80-76 48%     6 - 20 4 - 12 -3.4 +14.4 -17.2
  Mar 08, 2022 213   UC Davis L 53-63 30%     6 - 21 -12.5 -17.0 +4.1
Projected Record 6 - 21 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%