Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#122
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#140
Pace62.4#326
Improvement-3.0#299

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#212
First Shot-1.6#235
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#156
Layup/Dunks-0.6#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#266
Freethrows-0.7#242
Improvement-2.6#301

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#27
Layups/Dunks-0.3#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#93
Freethrows+0.0#193
Improvement-0.4#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 23 - 103 - 17
Quad 32 - 25 - 19
Quad 47 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 256   UC San Diego L 67-80 84%     0 - 1 -20.4 -13.1 -7.0
  Nov 13, 2021 86   @ UNLV L 52-55 29%     0 - 2 +5.7 -9.8 +15.1
  Nov 15, 2021 208   San Diego W 75-70 76%     1 - 2 +0.5 +5.5 -4.8
  Nov 18, 2021 167   Southern Utah W 75-68 2OT 69%     2 - 2 +4.7 -10.6 +14.5
  Nov 22, 2021 47   Florida L 60-80 25%     2 - 3 -10.0 -8.6 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2021 34   Seton Hall L 59-62 22%     2 - 4 +8.2 -2.9 +10.9
  Nov 28, 2021 84   Fresno St. W 65-57 44%     3 - 4 +12.6 +3.0 +10.4
  Dec 02, 2021 204   Oregon St. W 73-61 75%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +7.9 +1.6 +7.4
  Dec 05, 2021 114   @ Utah L 58-66 39%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -2.2 -9.2 +6.3
  Dec 08, 2021 327   Idaho St. W 72-46 92%     5 - 5 +13.2 +3.9 +13.4
  Dec 11, 2021 71   Santa Clara W 72-60 38%     6 - 5 +18.0 -0.9 +18.9
  Dec 19, 2021 206   Dartmouth W 61-55 76%     7 - 5 +1.6 -3.7 +6.1
  Dec 22, 2021 277   Pacific W 73-53 86%     8 - 5 +11.2 +5.0 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2022 83   Arizona St. W 74-50 43%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +28.7 +12.9 +17.5
  Jan 06, 2022 41   USC L 63-77 30%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -5.6 +0.4 -7.3
  Jan 08, 2022 8   UCLA L 52-60 13%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +7.2 -6.9 +13.0
  Jan 12, 2022 101   @ Washington L 55-64 34%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -1.6 -7.9 +5.4
  Jan 15, 2022 51   @ Washington St. L 57-65 20%     9 - 9 2 - 5 +3.8 +2.4 -0.1
  Jan 23, 2022 2   Arizona L 71-96 9%     9 - 10 2 - 6 -7.3 +3.6 -10.5
  Jan 27, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 57-81 7%     9 - 11 2 - 7 -4.4 -3.2 -2.7
  Jan 29, 2022 41   @ USC L 72-79 18%     9 - 12 2 - 8 +5.8 +11.3 -6.1
  Feb 01, 2022 97   @ Stanford L 50-57 32%     9 - 13 2 - 9 +0.8 -10.2 +9.9
  Feb 03, 2022 101   Washington L 63-84 50%     9 - 14 2 - 10 -18.1 -2.4 -17.4
  Feb 05, 2022 51   Washington St. L 64-68 33%     9 - 15 2 - 11 +3.4 -0.1 +3.2
  Feb 09, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. W 63-61 60%     10 - 15 3 - 11 +2.3 -10.6 +13.0
  Feb 12, 2022 70   @ Oregon W 78-64 24%     11 - 15 4 - 11 +24.4 +6.7 +17.2
  Feb 17, 2022 57   Colorado L 62-70 34%     11 - 16 4 - 12 -0.8 +0.9 -2.7
  Feb 19, 2022 114   Utah L 58-60 56%     11 - 17 4 - 13 -0.7 -12.2 +11.4
  Feb 26, 2022 97   Stanford W 53-39 48%     12 - 17 5 - 13 +17.4 -3.8 +24.8
  Mar 03, 2022 83   @ Arizona St. L 44-71 28%     12 - 18 5 - 14 -17.9 -16.6 -3.5
  Mar 05, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 61-89 5%     12 - 19 5 - 15 -5.9 +0.1 -7.5
  Mar 09, 2022 51   Washington St. L 59-66 26%     12 - 20 +2.6 -6.6 +9.0
Projected Record 12 - 20 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%