Pre-tourney Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#226
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#223
Pace69.3#138
Improvement-2.8#291

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#254
First Shot-2.4#256
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#203
Layup/Dunks+1.4#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#346
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#210
Freethrows+0.5#131
Improvement-4.0#340

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#195
First Shot-1.0#212
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#84
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement+1.2#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 62 - 13
Quad 413 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 356   Mississippi Valley W 95-66 93%     1 - 0 +9.2 +1.0 +5.0
  Nov 16, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 77-64 74%     2 - 0 +2.9 +9.6 -5.5
  Nov 18, 2021 275   San Jose St. W 67-66 70%     3 - 0 -7.7 -6.9 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2021 211   Northern Colorado W 74-70 56%     4 - 0 -0.7 -4.5 +3.9
  Nov 24, 2021 18   @ Texas L 44-68 5%     4 - 1 -7.8 -13.9 +2.8
  Dec 02, 2021 297   Cal Poly W 64-55 75%     5 - 1 -1.3 -2.2 +2.2
  Dec 07, 2021 345   North Dakota W 89-71 87%     6 - 1 +2.8 +9.1 -5.8
  Dec 12, 2021 173   @ UC Riverside L 54-70 31%     6 - 2 -14.1 -16.3 +2.0
  Dec 18, 2021 2   @ Arizona L 60-84 2%     6 - 3 -1.9 -7.3 +6.7
  Dec 21, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 84-68 64%     7 - 3 +9.1 -1.7 +9.5
  Jan 08, 2022 340   @ Chicago St. L 56-58 74%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -12.0 -12.8 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2022 280   Dixie St. L 76-79 71%     7 - 5 0 - 2 -12.1 -5.3 -6.5
  Jan 15, 2022 133   Utah Valley W 75-73 38%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +2.0 +6.0 -3.9
  Jan 17, 2022 141   Seattle L 85-92 OT 38%     8 - 6 1 - 3 -7.3 -1.1 -4.8
  Jan 20, 2022 216   @ Tarleton St. W 88-84 39%     9 - 6 2 - 3 +3.6 +13.1 -9.7
  Jan 22, 2022 132   @ Abilene Christian L 68-77 23%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -4.5 -6.7 +2.8
  Jan 26, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. L 68-73 41%     9 - 8 2 - 5 -5.9 +0.2 -6.3
  Jan 29, 2022 117   Stephen F. Austin L 77-81 34%     9 - 9 2 - 6 -3.0 +3.6 -6.4
  Feb 03, 2022 85   @ New Mexico St. L 57-68 13%     9 - 10 2 - 7 -2.0 -10.5 +8.4
  Feb 05, 2022 103   @ Grand Canyon L 50-56 16%     9 - 11 2 - 8 +1.2 -15.0 +15.9
  Feb 10, 2022 347   Lamar W 83-61 87%     10 - 11 3 - 8 +6.3 +9.4 -1.5
  Feb 12, 2022 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-72 77%     11 - 11 4 - 8 -2.9 -2.7 -0.5
  Feb 16, 2022 103   Grand Canyon L 60-65 28%     11 - 12 4 - 9 -2.2 -6.5 +4.0
  Feb 19, 2022 141   @ Seattle L 64-67 24%     11 - 13 4 - 10 +1.2 -4.1 +5.3
  Feb 24, 2022 280   @ Dixie St. W 71-61 55%     12 - 13 5 - 10 +5.3 -2.0 +7.4
  Feb 26, 2022 133   @ Utah Valley L 54-63 23%     12 - 14 5 - 11 -4.6 -14.8 +10.2
  Mar 02, 2022 340   Chicago St. W 62-53 85%     13 - 14 6 - 11 -5.4 -8.4 +4.5
  Mar 05, 2022 347   @ Lamar W 78-66 78%     14 - 14 7 - 11 +0.7 +8.4 -6.5
  Mar 08, 2022 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 81-80 70%     15 - 14 -7.7 -2.3 -5.5
  Mar 09, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. L 35-65 33%     15 - 15 -28.7 -31.4 -0.3
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%