Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#94
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#70
Pace63.1#317
Improvement-1.6#237

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#76
First Shot+1.8#118
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#40
Layup/Dunks+0.4#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement-4.8#349

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#120
First Shot+2.4#98
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#213
Layups/Dunks-1.4#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#15
Freethrows+0.7#121
Improvement+3.2#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round20.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 04 - 2
Quad 311 - 215 - 4
Quad 410 - 325 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 183   @ Loyola Marymount W 75-64 67%     1 - 0 +12.3 +8.2 +5.2
  Nov 14, 2021 235   UNC Asheville W 75-45 87%     2 - 0 +24.0 +7.8 +19.8
  Nov 16, 2021 272   Tennessee Tech W 69-62 90%     3 - 0 -1.5 +2.8 -3.2
  Nov 20, 2021 66   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 56-54 32%     4 - 0 +12.7 +4.5 +8.6
  Nov 27, 2021 157   College of Charleston L 66-68 77%     4 - 1 -3.7 -6.7 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2021 272   @ Tennessee Tech W 82-65 83%     5 - 1 +12.9 +8.5 +4.8
  Dec 05, 2021 268   @ Lipscomb W 85-64 82%     6 - 1 +17.1 +12.9 +5.4
  Dec 08, 2021 235   @ UNC Asheville W 78-73 76%     7 - 1 +3.4 +17.8 -13.5
  Dec 15, 2021 91   @ Belmont L 68-76 40%     7 - 2 +0.4 +1.4 -1.2
  Dec 18, 2021 56   @ Murray St. L 76-87 29%     7 - 3 +0.6 +6.5 -5.5
  Dec 22, 2021 109   Middle Tennessee W 77-65 65%     8 - 3 +13.8 +8.3 +5.9
  Dec 30, 2021 194   East Tennessee St. W 82-52 82%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +26.2 +14.1 +16.1
  Jan 05, 2022 131   @ Wofford W 75-67 55%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +12.5 +5.3 +7.3
  Jan 08, 2022 255   The Citadel W 85-67 89%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +10.6 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 12, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina L 59-70 87%     11 - 4 3 - 1 -17.1 -17.8 +0.6
  Jan 15, 2022 88   Furman W 71-69 57%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +6.1 +9.0 -2.6
  Jan 20, 2022 182   @ UNC Greensboro W 72-64 67%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +9.4 +4.1 +5.6
  Jan 22, 2022 180   @ VMI W 78-74 66%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +5.6 +6.5 -0.7
  Jan 26, 2022 131   Wofford W 71-60 71%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +11.1 +7.4 +5.2
  Jan 29, 2022 255   @ The Citadel W 75-62 80%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +10.0 -0.3 +10.2
  Feb 02, 2022 192   @ Samford L 72-80 69%     16 - 5 8 - 2 -7.2 -2.2 -5.0
  Feb 05, 2022 199   Mercer W 77-68 82%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +5.0 +10.5 -4.3
  Feb 07, 2022 199   @ Mercer W 74-72 OT 70%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +2.4 -4.6 +6.9
  Feb 09, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 65-47 93%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +7.5 -13.3 +21.0
  Feb 12, 2022 88   @ Furman W 64-58 40%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +14.5 -1.9 +17.0
  Feb 17, 2022 182   UNC Greensboro L 70-73 80%     20 - 6 12 - 3 -6.0 +1.7 -7.9
  Feb 19, 2022 180   VMI L 75-80 80%     20 - 7 12 - 4 -7.9 -3.8 -4.1
  Feb 23, 2022 194   @ East Tennessee St. W 83-77 69%     21 - 7 13 - 4 +6.7 +4.8 +1.8
  Feb 26, 2022 192   Samford W 70-57 82%     22 - 7 14 - 4 +9.4 +1.3 +9.6
  Mar 05, 2022 255   The Citadel W 71-66 85%     23 - 7 -0.2 -1.9 +1.9
  Mar 06, 2022 131   Wofford W 79-56 64%     24 - 7 +25.3 +17.4 +10.9
  Mar 07, 2022 88   Furman W 64-63 OT 48%     25 - 7 +7.3 -2.5 +9.9
Projected Record 25 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.4 37.6 61.9 0.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.4 37.6 61.9 0.0