Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#44
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#18
Pace64.8#264
Improvement-2.5#282

Offense
Total Offense+7.5#22
First Shot+9.2#7
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#308
Layup/Dunks+1.8#101
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#50
Freethrows+3.2#8
Improvement-4.4#345

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#96
First Shot+1.7#120
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#65
Layups/Dunks+2.5#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#299
Freethrows+1.7#64
Improvement+2.0#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 53.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round50.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b4 - 15 - 3
Quad 28 - 113 - 4
Quad 34 - 117 - 5
Quad 47 - 024 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 160   Oral Roberts W 109-80 87%     1 - 0 +27.1 +22.3 +2.6
  Nov 12, 2021 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 91-71 99%     2 - 0 +1.2 +0.3 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2021 98   Bradley W 66-60 68%     3 - 0 +11.5 -3.9 +15.4
  Nov 21, 2021 43   Creighton W 95-81 50%     4 - 0 +24.5 +29.0 -4.7
  Nov 22, 2021 253   Northeastern W 71-61 92%     5 - 0 +4.9 +0.8 +4.6
  Nov 27, 2021 211   Northern Colorado W 88-79 91%     6 - 0 +4.3 +15.2 -10.2
  Dec 01, 2021 317   Arkansas Little Rock W 86-55 97%     7 - 0 +18.8 +5.6 +13.0
  Dec 04, 2021 20   St. Mary's W 74-58 47%     8 - 0 +27.2 +12.2 +15.6
  Dec 11, 2021 46   Mississippi St. W 66-63 52%     9 - 0 +13.0 +4.1 +9.2
  Jan 04, 2022 249   Air Force W 67-59 94%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +0.9 +4.6 -2.3
  Jan 08, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. L 49-79 36%     10 - 1 1 - 1 -15.7 -8.9 -8.3
  Jan 12, 2022 58   Utah St. W 77-72 63%     11 - 1 2 - 1 +12.0 +11.3 +0.9
  Jan 15, 2022 275   @ San Jose St. W 78-42 91%     12 - 1 3 - 1 +31.7 +7.8 +26.5
  Jan 19, 2022 155   New Mexico W 80-74 87%     13 - 1 4 - 1 +4.4 +11.1 -6.2
  Jan 22, 2022 249   @ Air Force W 73-53 89%     14 - 1 5 - 1 +17.3 +3.3 +14.7
  Jan 25, 2022 110   Nevada W 77-66 80%     15 - 1 6 - 1 +12.7 +6.8 +6.3
  Jan 28, 2022 86   UNLV L 74-88 73%     15 - 2 6 - 2 -9.7 +6.0 -16.2
  Jan 31, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 78-84 OT 51%     15 - 3 6 - 3 +4.3 +2.2 +2.6
  Feb 04, 2022 26   San Diego St. W 58-57 53%     16 - 3 7 - 3 +10.8 -2.9 +13.8
  Feb 08, 2022 110   @ Nevada W 82-72 66%     17 - 3 8 - 3 +16.1 +14.9 +1.7
  Feb 11, 2022 84   Fresno St. W 65-50 71%     18 - 3 9 - 3 +19.6 +10.9 +11.9
  Feb 13, 2022 37   @ Boise St. W 77-74 OT 40%     19 - 3 10 - 3 +16.1 +16.4 -0.1
  Feb 17, 2022 155   @ New Mexico W 83-68 77%     20 - 3 11 - 3 +17.9 +11.9 +6.4
  Feb 19, 2022 86   @ UNLV L 51-72 57%     20 - 4 11 - 4 -12.3 -9.9 -5.5
  Feb 23, 2022 74   Wyoming W 61-55 67%     21 - 4 12 - 4 +11.8 -1.3 +13.9
  Feb 26, 2022 58   @ Utah St. W 66-55 46%     22 - 4 13 - 4 +22.4 +6.3 +17.3
  Mar 05, 2022 37   Boise St. W 71-68 57%     23 - 4 14 - 4 +11.7 +14.6 -2.5
  Mar 10, 2022 58   Utah St. W 53-51 55%     24 - 4 +11.2 -5.1 +16.7
  Mar 11, 2022 26   San Diego St. L 58-63 44%     24 - 5 +7.0 +8.1 -2.0
Projected Record 24 - 5 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 6.4 0.1 1.0 13.3 39.2 36.2 8.9 1.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 6.4 0.1 1.0 13.3 39.2 36.2 8.9 1.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%