Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#222
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#240
Pace62.3#329
Improvement-1.1#222

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#243
First Shot-3.9#290
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#67
Layup/Dunks+0.8#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows-2.1#319
Improvement-3.8#336

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#196
First Shot-1.0#214
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#135
Layups/Dunks-4.5#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#17
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+2.7#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 102 - 13
Quad 412 - 514 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 38   @ Providence L 73-80 7%     0 - 1 +6.1 -0.6 +7.2
  Nov 14, 2021 120   @ Boston College L 64-72 21%     0 - 2 -2.6 -3.3 +0.4
  Nov 20, 2021 315   @ Sacred Heart W 71-61 68%     1 - 2 +2.3 -0.1 +3.7
  Nov 24, 2021 243   Stony Brook W 83-78 OT 64%     2 - 2 -1.8 +3.1 -4.9
  Nov 28, 2021 271   Loyola Maryland L 70-75 70%     2 - 3 -13.5 +0.8 -14.7
  Dec 03, 2021 261   @ Canisius W 74-68 52%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +2.4 +9.5 -6.3
  Dec 05, 2021 201   @ Niagara W 81-71 37%     4 - 3 2 - 0 +10.4 +13.1 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 74-59 87%     5 - 3 -0.1 +5.7 -3.6
  Dec 12, 2021 338   @ William & Mary W 70-47 73%     6 - 3 +13.5 +2.2 +13.6
  Dec 15, 2021 349   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-54 79%     7 - 3 +6.4 -6.8 +13.5
  Dec 19, 2021 171   @ Massachusetts L 73-77 OT 32%     7 - 4 -2.1 -8.4 +6.5
  Dec 23, 2021 172   Wagner L 50-63 48%     7 - 5 -15.5 -16.3 -1.0
  Jan 07, 2022 225   Marist L 51-60 59%     7 - 6 2 - 1 -14.4 -20.8 +5.9
  Jan 09, 2022 237   @ Siena L 62-69 45%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -8.7 -14.7 +6.5
  Jan 11, 2022 104   Iona L 76-80 29%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -1.2 +2.5 -3.6
  Jan 16, 2022 240   @ Quinnipiac L 66-72 47%     7 - 9 2 - 4 -8.1 -5.9 -2.6
  Jan 20, 2022 175   Monmouth L 58-61 49%     7 - 10 2 - 5 -5.7 -6.5 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2022 225   @ Marist W 69-66 42%     8 - 10 3 - 5 +2.0 +3.1 -0.8
  Jan 28, 2022 229   @ Rider W 76-65 43%     9 - 10 4 - 5 +9.7 +12.2 -1.2
  Feb 04, 2022 175   @ Monmouth L 56-59 32%     9 - 11 4 - 6 -1.3 -6.8 +5.0
  Feb 06, 2022 237   Siena L 56-62 62%     9 - 12 4 - 7 -12.1 -13.0 +0.3
  Feb 09, 2022 240   Quinnipiac L 60-69 63%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -15.5 -12.7 -3.6
  Feb 12, 2022 201   Niagara W 73-53 54%     10 - 13 5 - 8 +16.0 +9.8 +9.0
  Feb 14, 2022 261   Canisius W 80-76 OT 69%     11 - 13 6 - 8 -4.0 +5.8 -9.8
  Feb 16, 2022 269   Manhattan L 67-74 69%     11 - 14 6 - 9 -15.3 -12.0 -3.2
  Feb 18, 2022 129   St. Peter's L 59-70 38%     11 - 15 6 - 10 -10.8 -3.9 -7.9
  Feb 20, 2022 104   @ Iona L 58-76 17%     11 - 16 6 - 11 -10.8 -2.5 -11.1
  Feb 27, 2022 269   @ Manhattan W 66-62 53%     12 - 16 7 - 11 +0.1 -7.2 +7.4
  Mar 03, 2022 229   Rider W 65-59 60%     13 - 16 8 - 11 +0.3 -3.3 +4.2
  Mar 05, 2022 129   @ St. Peter's L 41-57 23%     13 - 17 8 - 12 -11.4 -21.8 +9.1
  Mar 08, 2022 261   Canisius W 72-50 61%     14 - 17 +16.2 -1.0 +17.7
  Mar 09, 2022 129   St. Peter's L 63-77 30%     14 - 18 -11.6 +0.1 -12.7
Projected Record 14 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%