Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#126
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#181
Pace68.3#171
Improvement+2.5#84

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#116
First Shot+1.5#134
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#119
Layup/Dunks+0.1#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#72
Freethrows-0.9#258
Improvement-1.7#266

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#156
First Shot-1.2#221
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#39
Layups/Dunks+1.5#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#204
Freethrows+0.1#181
Improvement+4.2#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 43 - 11
Quad 413 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 155   @ New Mexico L 92-99 49%     0 - 1 -4.1 +9.3 -12.7
  Nov 16, 2021 54   Miami (FL) L 66-68 33%     0 - 2 +5.2 -5.6 +10.8
  Nov 19, 2021 313   Tennessee Martin W 75-67 91%     1 - 2 -3.9 -3.0 -0.9
  Nov 20, 2021 345   North Dakota W 98-79 94%     2 - 2 +3.8 +17.6 -13.4
  Nov 22, 2021 193   Troy L 78-83 OT 73%     2 - 3 -8.7 -2.1 -6.1
  Nov 28, 2021 233   James Madison L 65-69 79%     2 - 4 -9.9 -5.3 -5.0
  Dec 01, 2021 294   Stetson W 83-73 88%     3 - 4 -0.1 +8.5 -8.3
  Dec 05, 2021 266   North Florida W 76-41 85%     4 - 4 +26.8 +3.2 +25.0
  Dec 15, 2021 66   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 46-66 22%     4 - 5 -9.3 -17.8 +9.4
  Dec 21, 2021 252   @ High Point L 52-55 70%     4 - 6 -5.8 -8.2 +1.6
  Jan 08, 2022 232   @ Marshall W 90-77 66%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +11.6 +13.0 -1.8
  Jan 13, 2022 109   @ Middle Tennessee L 57-70 37%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -6.8 -8.4 +0.8
  Jan 15, 2022 53   @ UAB L 65-76 19%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +0.8 -3.4 +4.2
  Jan 17, 2022 189   Charlotte W 96-67 72%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +25.6 +27.5 +0.4
  Jan 20, 2022 115   Western Kentucky W 78-69 55%     7 - 8 3 - 2 +10.3 +8.3 +2.5
  Jan 22, 2022 232   Marshall W 71-60 79%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +5.2 -6.2 +11.2
  Jan 27, 2022 158   @ UTEP L 68-70 50%     8 - 9 4 - 3 +0.6 +6.4 -6.0
  Jan 29, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 73-64 79%     9 - 9 5 - 3 +3.3 -6.5 +9.1
  Feb 03, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech W 83-73 49%     10 - 9 6 - 3 +12.9 +11.3 +1.4
  Feb 05, 2022 335   Southern Miss W 84-57 93%     11 - 9 7 - 3 +13.4 +6.4 +7.7
  Feb 08, 2022 181   Old Dominion W 81-62 71%     12 - 9 8 - 3 +16.0 +9.1 +7.3
  Feb 10, 2022 115   @ Western Kentucky L 69-76 38%     12 - 10 8 - 4 -1.2 -1.6 +0.3
  Feb 17, 2022 72   North Texas L 51-54 37%     12 - 11 8 - 5 +3.0 -3.1 +5.4
  Feb 19, 2022 109   Middle Tennessee L 79-87 54%     12 - 12 8 - 6 -6.2 +10.0 -16.5
  Feb 24, 2022 181   @ Old Dominion L 51-70 55%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -17.5 -23.0 +6.5
  Feb 26, 2022 189   @ Charlotte W 74-69 56%     13 - 13 9 - 7 +6.0 +2.4 +3.8
  Mar 03, 2022 264   @ Florida International W 71-51 73%     14 - 13 10 - 7 +16.3 +1.5 +16.2
  Mar 05, 2022 264   Florida International W 84-76 84%     15 - 13 11 - 7 -0.1 +3.0 -3.5
  Mar 09, 2022 335   Southern Miss W 86-59 90%     16 - 13 +15.6 +10.8 +5.9
  Mar 10, 2022 53   UAB L 66-80 25%     16 - 14 -4.4 -6.6 +2.9
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%