Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.1#5
Expected Predictive Rating+15.5#16
Pace62.2#332
Improvement-2.0#260

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#11
First Shot+6.8#18
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#15
Layup/Dunks+3.9#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#127
Freethrows-0.4#212
Improvement-1.4#257

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#13
First Shot+7.3#12
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#88
Layups/Dunks+7.8#4
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#230
Freethrows-0.8#254
Improvement-0.6#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 4.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 18.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 88.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight36.7% n/a n/a
Final Four20.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game10.1% n/a n/a
National Champion4.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 210 - 111 - 5
Quad 310 - 021 - 5
Quad 48 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 138   Hofstra W 83-75 OT 95%     1 - 0 +7.8 +6.1 +1.5
  Nov 12, 2021 207   Rice W 79-46 97%     2 - 0 +28.6 +5.9 +25.0
  Nov 16, 2021 77   Virginia W 67-47 88%     3 - 0 +25.6 +10.9 +18.5
  Nov 22, 2021 108   Butler W 70-52 89%     4 - 0 +22.7 +7.2 +17.0
  Nov 23, 2021 30   Wisconsin L 63-65 73%     4 - 1 +9.7 +3.4 +6.1
  Nov 24, 2021 70   Oregon W 78-49 82%     5 - 1 +37.2 +11.7 +26.7
  Nov 30, 2021 339   Northwestern St. W 99-58 99%     6 - 1 +26.9 +15.5 +10.8
  Dec 03, 2021 187   Bryant W 111-44 97%     7 - 1 +63.7 +28.8 +31.0
  Dec 06, 2021 283   Alcorn St. W 77-45 99%     8 - 1 +22.4 +2.3 +20.9
  Dec 11, 2021 23   @ Alabama L 82-83 64%     8 - 2 +13.5 +13.1 +0.3
  Dec 14, 2021 188   Louisiana W 71-56 97%     9 - 2 +11.6 +0.2 +12.2
  Dec 18, 2021 36   Oklahoma St. W 72-61 75%     10 - 2 +21.9 +9.3 +12.7
  Dec 22, 2021 144   Texas St. W 80-47 95%     11 - 2 +32.1 +19.2 +18.3
  Jan 02, 2022 111   @ Temple W 66-61 87%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +11.1 +9.6 +2.4
  Jan 05, 2022 231   @ South Florida W 83-66 95%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +15.6 +23.7 -6.4
  Jan 08, 2022 92   Wichita St. W 76-66 90%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +13.8 +10.2 +4.0
  Jan 15, 2022 154   @ Tulsa W 66-64 91%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +5.0 +0.9 +4.3
  Jan 18, 2022 231   South Florida W 74-55 98%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +13.2 +5.8 +7.8
  Jan 22, 2022 168   East Carolina W 79-36 96%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +40.6 +13.0 +31.9
  Jan 29, 2022 107   @ Central Florida W 63-49 85%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +20.9 +3.2 +19.9
  Feb 02, 2022 96   Tulane W 73-62 91%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +14.5 -0.8 +15.1
  Feb 06, 2022 100   @ Cincinnati W 83-59 84%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +31.4 +14.7 +16.6
  Feb 09, 2022 49   @ SMU L 83-85 72%     20 - 3 9 - 1 +10.1 +14.3 -4.2
  Feb 12, 2022 25   Memphis L 59-69 78%     20 - 4 9 - 2 -0.2 -5.1 +4.3
  Feb 17, 2022 107   Central Florida W 70-52 92%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +20.5 +3.6 +18.3
  Feb 20, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. W 76-74 2OT 82%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +10.2 +6.0 +4.1
  Feb 23, 2022 96   @ Tulane W 81-67 83%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +21.9 +17.7 +5.4
  Feb 27, 2022 49   SMU W 75-61 84%     24 - 4 13 - 2 +21.7 +11.3 +11.3
  Mar 01, 2022 100   Cincinnati W 71-53 91%     25 - 4 14 - 2 +21.0 +7.6 +15.1
  Mar 03, 2022 111   Temple W 84-46 93%     26 - 4 15 - 2 +39.7 +20.9 +21.7
  Mar 06, 2022 25   @ Memphis L 61-75 64%     26 - 5 15 - 3 +0.3 -1.4 +1.0
  Mar 11, 2022 100   Cincinnati W 69-56 88%     27 - 5 +18.2 +11.9 +8.5
  Mar 12, 2022 96   Tulane W 86-66 87%     28 - 5 +25.7 +19.6 +7.2
  Mar 13, 2022 25   Memphis W 71-53 72%     29 - 5 +30.1 +12.1 +19.9
Projected Record 29 - 5 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 4.2 14.0 35.1 35.3 9.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.4 4.2 14.0 35.1 35.3 9.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0