Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#144
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#108
Pace61.7#337
Improvement+0.6#159

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#145
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#132
Layup/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#324
Freethrows-0.1#186
Improvement-2.1#284

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#163
First Shot+0.2#174
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#164
Layups/Dunks+2.0#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#252
Freethrows-1.5#291
Improvement+2.7#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 35 - 35 - 6
Quad 413 - 118 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 353   @ Incarnate Word W 75-57 91%     1 - 0 +4.3 +3.6 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2021 19   @ LSU L 59-84 9%     1 - 1 -9.2 +0.3 -10.8
  Nov 14, 2021 60   @ Vanderbilt L 60-79 18%     1 - 2 -7.8 -2.3 -6.6
  Nov 19, 2021 280   Dixie St. W 85-65 78%     2 - 2 +13.1 +10.6 +2.5
  Nov 20, 2021 219   Eastern Washington W 81-74 66%     3 - 2 +4.2 +2.2 +1.7
  Nov 30, 2021 207   @ Rice W 80-69 55%     4 - 2 +11.0 +1.2 +9.4
  Dec 05, 2021 295   Denver W 71-58 86%     5 - 2 +2.8 -5.4 +8.9
  Dec 15, 2021 347   Lamar W 67-47 94%     6 - 2 +4.3 +1.5 +7.0
  Dec 22, 2021 5   @ Houston L 47-80 5%     6 - 3 -12.7 -8.9 -9.1
  Dec 30, 2021 193   Troy L 63-78 69%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -18.7 -4.0 -15.8
  Jan 13, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe W 80-56 82%     7 - 4 1 - 1 +15.7 +10.9 +7.6
  Jan 15, 2022 188   Louisiana W 72-68 68%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +0.6 -1.7 +2.4
  Jan 20, 2022 317   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 69-59 81%     9 - 4 3 - 1 +2.2 -1.6 +4.9
  Jan 22, 2022 191   @ Arkansas St. L 60-67 52%     9 - 5 3 - 2 -6.2 -2.5 -4.6
  Jan 27, 2022 227   @ Texas Arlington L 58-70 59%     9 - 6 3 - 3 -13.1 -6.5 -8.0
  Jan 29, 2022 227   Texas Arlington W 58-53 75%     10 - 6 4 - 3 -0.5 -5.7 +6.1
  Feb 03, 2022 159   Appalachian St. W 68-66 62%     11 - 6 5 - 3 +0.1 +5.6 -5.1
  Feb 05, 2022 163   Coastal Carolina W 69-64 63%     12 - 6 6 - 3 +2.9 +1.0 +2.3
  Feb 10, 2022 188   @ Louisiana W 82-73 51%     13 - 6 7 - 3 +10.1 +10.5 -0.4
  Feb 12, 2022 270   @ Louisiana Monroe W 63-54 69%     14 - 6 8 - 3 +5.1 -11.8 +17.1
  Feb 17, 2022 191   Arkansas St. W 84-67 68%     15 - 6 9 - 3 +13.4 +8.0 +4.7
  Feb 19, 2022 317   Arkansas Little Rock W 68-50 89%     16 - 6 10 - 3 +5.8 -2.6 +10.9
  Feb 23, 2022 152   @ South Alabama W 55-52 43%     17 - 6 11 - 3 +6.1 -3.4 +10.2
  Feb 25, 2022 193   @ Troy W 66-61 52%     18 - 6 12 - 3 +5.8 +8.9 -2.2
  Mar 05, 2022 188   Louisiana L 72-79 60%     18 - 7 -8.2 -2.9 -5.1
Projected Record 18 - 7 12 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%