Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#15
Expected Predictive Rating+14.6#21
Pace68.3#173
Improvement-2.3#271

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#19
First Shot+5.7#36
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#33
Layup/Dunks+0.1#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#31
Freethrows+1.4#73
Improvement-2.5#296

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#28
First Shot+7.5#10
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#260
Layups/Dunks+7.1#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#6
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement+0.2#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 59.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round78.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.6% n/a n/a
Final Four7.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.9% n/a n/a
National Champion1.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 35 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 36 - 6
Quad 26 - 312 - 9
Quad 36 - 018 - 9
Quad 44 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 71-47 98%     1 - 0 +13.9 -0.4 +15.3
  Nov 12, 2021 191   Arkansas St. W 92-53 94%     2 - 0 +35.4 +11.6 +20.6
  Nov 15, 2021 40   @ Marquette L 66-67 56%     2 - 1 +11.9 -6.0 +18.0
  Nov 22, 2021 100   Cincinnati L 51-71 81%     2 - 2 -14.8 -15.1 -0.8
  Nov 23, 2021 62   Kansas St. W 72-64 71%     3 - 2 +16.8 +6.1 +11.1
  Nov 26, 2021 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 94-85 98%     4 - 2 -1.9 +11.3 -13.5
  Nov 29, 2021 48   Notre Dame W 82-72 74%     5 - 2 +17.7 +17.2 +1.3
  Dec 03, 2021 59   Rutgers W 86-51 77%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +42.0 +18.5 +23.7
  Dec 06, 2021 10   @ Iowa W 87-83 31%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +23.5 +16.5 +6.9
  Dec 11, 2021 2   Arizona L 79-83 38%     7 - 3 +13.7 +7.4 +6.6
  Dec 18, 2021 325   St. Francis (PA) W 106-48 99%     8 - 3 +45.3 +43.2 +10.8
  Dec 22, 2021 113   Missouri W 88-63 85%     9 - 3 +28.6 +15.7 +12.5
  Jan 04, 2022 105   @ Minnesota W 76-53 77%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +30.0 +6.4 +23.9
  Jan 06, 2022 64   Maryland W 76-64 78%     11 - 3 4 - 0 +18.4 +11.8 +7.6
  Jan 11, 2022 116   @ Nebraska W 81-71 81%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +15.4 +10.2 +5.3
  Jan 14, 2022 24   Michigan W 68-53 67%     13 - 3 6 - 0 +24.9 +6.2 +20.6
  Jan 17, 2022 14   Purdue L 88-96 2OT 52%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +6.0 +2.6 +4.8
  Jan 21, 2022 64   @ Maryland L 65-81 64%     13 - 5 6 - 2 -5.2 +0.7 -6.9
  Jan 25, 2022 32   Michigan St. W 56-55 69%     14 - 5 7 - 2 +10.3 -3.4 +13.9
  Jan 29, 2022 78   @ Northwestern W 59-56 68%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +12.8 -3.4 +16.4
  Feb 02, 2022 30   Wisconsin W 80-67 69%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +22.4 +13.2 +9.4
  Feb 05, 2022 33   @ Indiana W 74-57 54%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +30.6 +15.0 +16.8
  Feb 08, 2022 14   @ Purdue L 68-84 35%     17 - 6 10 - 3 +2.4 +4.4 -3.0
  Feb 13, 2022 78   Northwestern W 73-66 81%     18 - 6 11 - 3 +12.3 -3.1 +14.8
  Feb 16, 2022 59   @ Rutgers L 59-70 62%     18 - 7 11 - 4 +0.4 -3.4 +3.2
  Feb 19, 2022 32   @ Michigan St. W 79-74 53%     19 - 7 12 - 4 +18.7 +17.7 +1.4
  Feb 24, 2022 27   Ohio St. L 83-86 68%     19 - 8 12 - 5 +6.7 +9.2 -2.4
  Feb 27, 2022 24   @ Michigan W 93-85 51%     20 - 8 13 - 5 +22.4 +20.1 +1.8
  Mar 03, 2022 73   Penn St. W 60-55 79%     21 - 8 14 - 5 +11.0 +5.1 +7.0
  Mar 06, 2022 10   Iowa W 74-72 48%     22 - 8 15 - 5 +17.1 +2.9 +14.2
  Mar 11, 2022 33   Indiana L 63-65 62%     22 - 9 +9.4 +2.0 +7.2
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.5 16.3 42.9 34.2 5.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.5 16.3 42.9 34.2 5.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%