Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#184
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#165
Pace57.6#355
Improvement+1.9#100

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#224
First Shot-2.4#255
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#118
Layup/Dunks-0.8#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#246
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement+6.5#1

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#150
First Shot+0.0#178
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#104
Layups/Dunks+0.8#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
Freethrows-1.3#280
Improvement-4.6#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 415 - 017 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 298   N.C. A&T W 63-54 81%     1 - 0 -1.3 -13.3 +12.2
  Nov 16, 2021 107   @ Central Florida L 54-63 23%     1 - 1 -2.1 -7.6 +4.2
  Nov 24, 2021 105   @ Minnesota L 44-55 22%     1 - 2 -4.0 -21.9 +16.8
  Dec 02, 2021 350   @ Charleston Southern W 67-56 85%     2 - 2 -1.3 -12.5 +11.1
  Dec 07, 2021 203   @ Georgia L 58-69 45%     2 - 3 -10.7 -19.7 +9.3
  Dec 11, 2021 177   UNC Wilmington W 77-48 57%     3 - 3 +26.3 +5.1 +22.1
  Dec 14, 2021 335   @ Southern Miss W 62-51 78%     4 - 3 +1.8 -6.9 +10.2
  Dec 21, 2021 165   @ Pittsburgh L 55-64 38%     4 - 4 -6.7 -7.1 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2022 205   Florida Gulf Coast W 69-66 63%     5 - 4 1 - 0 -1.4 -1.6 +0.5
  Jan 11, 2022 294   Stetson W 57-50 81%     6 - 4 2 - 0 -3.1 -11.6 +9.6
  Jan 15, 2022 266   @ North Florida W 54-51 61%     7 - 4 3 - 0 -0.8 -9.8 +9.5
  Jan 18, 2022 136   @ Liberty L 49-88 31%     7 - 5 3 - 1 -34.7 -12.7 -29.2
  Jan 22, 2022 198   @ Bellarmine L 73-76 OT 45%     7 - 6 3 - 2 -2.6 +0.2 -2.9
  Jan 24, 2022 230   @ Kennesaw St. L 68-76 51%     7 - 7 3 - 3 -9.3 -0.1 -10.2
  Jan 27, 2022 268   Lipscomb W 66-59 76%     8 - 7 4 - 3 -1.3 +1.6 -1.3
  Jan 29, 2022 316   Central Arkansas W 79-59 85%     9 - 7 5 - 3 +7.9 +0.3 +8.1
  Feb 03, 2022 320   @ North Alabama W 56-50 75%     10 - 7 6 - 3 -1.9 -8.9 +7.9
  Feb 05, 2022 153   @ Jacksonville St. L 58-64 35%     10 - 8 6 - 4 -3.0 -1.2 -3.1
  Feb 09, 2022 262   Eastern Kentucky W 81-68 75%     11 - 8 7 - 4 +5.0 +6.3 -0.8
  Feb 12, 2022 136   Liberty W 73-69 47%     12 - 8 8 - 4 +3.8 +7.8 -3.5
  Feb 16, 2022 294   @ Stetson W 67-45 68%     13 - 8 9 - 4 +16.3 +3.9 +16.5
  Feb 19, 2022 230   Kennesaw St. W 59-56 68%     14 - 8 10 - 4 -2.7 -5.1 +3.1
  Feb 23, 2022 266   North Florida W 71-39 76%     15 - 8 11 - 4 +23.8 +13.5 +18.6
  Feb 26, 2022 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-76 46%     15 - 9 11 - 5 -6.9 +0.3 -7.9
  Mar 03, 2022 316   Central Arkansas W 79-69 85%     16 - 9 -2.1 +5.2 -6.4
  Mar 05, 2022 153   @ Jacksonville St. W 54-51 35%     17 - 9 +6.0 -10.0 +16.4
  Mar 08, 2022 198   @ Bellarmine L 72-77 45%     17 - 10 -4.6 +9.7 -15.3
Projected Record 17 - 10 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%