Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#136
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#161
Pace63.9#302
Improvement-1.4#232

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot+3.6#76
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#335
Layup/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.0#8
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-1.3#248

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#145
First Shot+0.0#179
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#89
Layups/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#236
Freethrows-0.8#256
Improvement-0.2#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 46 - 7
Quad 413 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 19   @ LSU L 58-74 10%     0 - 1 -0.2 -4.8 +4.8
  Nov 19, 2021 104   Iona L 50-54 39%     0 - 2 +1.0 -13.2 +13.6
  Nov 20, 2021 269   Manhattan L 60-76 78%     0 - 3 -22.1 -10.7 -13.0
  Nov 23, 2021 343   Bethune-Cookman W 59-51 91%     1 - 3 -4.5 -8.0 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2021 334   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-61 92%     2 - 3 -1.3 +3.3 -3.6
  Dec 02, 2021 113   Missouri W 66-45 53%     3 - 3 +22.4 +2.7 +22.5
  Dec 06, 2021 357   Delaware St. W 96-60 97%     4 - 3 +15.9 +26.2 -6.5
  Dec 11, 2021 117   Stephen F. Austin L 51-63 45%     4 - 4 -8.8 -12.9 +2.7
  Dec 17, 2021 168   East Carolina W 74-64 59%     5 - 4 +9.8 +0.1 +9.5
  Dec 22, 2021 95   Northern Iowa W 76-74 36%     6 - 4 +7.7 +7.7 +0.1
  Dec 23, 2021 97   Stanford L 76-79 37%     6 - 5 +2.6 +1.6 +1.2
  Dec 25, 2021 61   BYU L 75-80 26%     6 - 6 +3.9 +9.1 -5.4
  Jan 04, 2022 294   @ Stetson W 75-59 77%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +10.3 +8.4 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2022 266   North Florida W 71-56 83%     8 - 6 2 - 0 +6.8 -5.1 +11.8
  Jan 15, 2022 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-75 58%     9 - 6 3 - 0 +3.1 +4.0 -0.9
  Jan 18, 2022 184   Jacksonville W 88-49 69%     10 - 6 4 - 0 +35.8 +31.1 +11.9
  Jan 27, 2022 320   North Alabama W 72-53 90%     11 - 6 5 - 0 +6.7 +0.8 +7.0
  Jan 29, 2022 153   Jacksonville St. L 67-77 63%     11 - 7 5 - 1 -11.4 -5.1 -6.7
  Jan 31, 2022 230   @ Kennesaw St. W 65-50 63%     12 - 7 6 - 1 +13.7 -1.3 +17.3
  Feb 03, 2022 198   @ Bellarmine W 66-53 56%     13 - 7 7 - 1 +13.4 -3.1 +18.1
  Feb 05, 2022 262   @ Eastern Kentucky W 91-84 71%     14 - 7 8 - 1 +3.4 +10.9 -7.8
  Feb 08, 2022 268   Lipscomb W 78-69 83%     15 - 7 9 - 1 +0.7 +3.9 -2.6
  Feb 12, 2022 184   @ Jacksonville L 69-73 53%     15 - 8 9 - 2 -2.8 +5.4 -8.6
  Feb 15, 2022 266   @ North Florida L 69-72 71%     15 - 9 9 - 3 -6.8 +3.6 -10.8
  Feb 19, 2022 294   Stetson W 88-82 87%     16 - 9 10 - 3 -4.1 +10.4 -14.5
  Feb 21, 2022 316   @ Central Arkansas W 85-66 82%     17 - 9 11 - 3 +11.3 +0.1 +9.8
  Feb 23, 2022 205   Florida Gulf Coast L 72-82 OT 73%     17 - 10 11 - 4 -14.4 -13.4 +0.2
  Feb 26, 2022 230   Kennesaw St. W 100-93 OT 77%     18 - 10 12 - 4 +1.3 +8.0 -7.6
  Mar 03, 2022 268   Lipscomb W 52-47 83%     19 - 10 -3.3 -21.1 +18.4
  Mar 05, 2022 198   Bellarmine L 50-53 72%     19 - 11 -7.0 -18.8 +11.2
Projected Record 19 - 11 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%