Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#40
Expected Predictive Rating+11.1#43
Pace76.3#23
Improvement+1.1#133

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#49
First Shot+4.3#56
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#116
Layup/Dunks+1.1#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#44
Freethrows+0.5#135
Improvement+2.2#75

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#42
First Shot+6.1#21
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#222
Layups/Dunks+0.3#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#95
Freethrows+2.0#47
Improvement-1.0#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four1.7% n/a n/a
First Round90.6% n/a n/a
Second Round42.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 15 - 7
Quad 25 - 510 - 12
Quad 34 - 014 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 308   SIU Edwardsville W 88-77 97%     1 - 0 -0.2 -2.0 +0.1
  Nov 12, 2021 247   New Hampshire W 75-70 94%     2 - 0 -1.9 -3.5 +1.5
  Nov 15, 2021 15   Illinois W 67-66 44%     3 - 0 +13.4 -6.4 +19.6
  Nov 18, 2021 99   Mississippi W 78-72 70%     4 - 0 +11.3 +9.7 +1.7
  Nov 19, 2021 69   West Virginia W 82-71 59%     5 - 0 +19.3 +13.2 +6.0
  Nov 21, 2021 82   St. Bonaventure L 54-70 64%     5 - 1 -9.1 -17.9 +9.7
  Nov 27, 2021 282   Northern Illinois W 80-66 96%     6 - 1 +4.5 -1.9 +5.2
  Nov 30, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 83-54 96%     7 - 1 +18.9 +0.1 +15.9
  Dec 04, 2021 30   @ Wisconsin L 76-89 38%     7 - 2 +0.9 +4.8 -3.0
  Dec 08, 2021 62   @ Kansas St. W 64-63 49%     8 - 2 +12.0 -3.2 +15.3
  Dec 11, 2021 8   UCLA L 56-67 33%     8 - 3 +4.2 -7.3 +11.0
  Dec 18, 2021 50   @ Xavier L 71-80 45%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +3.0 -2.1 +5.8
  Dec 21, 2021 17   Connecticut L 70-78 45%     8 - 5 0 - 2 +3.9 +2.4 +1.4
  Jan 01, 2022 43   Creighton L 69-75 2OT 59%     8 - 6 0 - 3 +2.3 -5.2 +8.3
  Jan 04, 2022 38   Providence W 88-56 58%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +40.7 +26.3 +17.4
  Jan 07, 2022 150   @ Georgetown W 92-64 76%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +31.3 +13.6 +15.8
  Jan 11, 2022 90   DePaul W 87-76 74%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +15.1 +15.6 -0.6
  Jan 15, 2022 34   Seton Hall W 73-72 57%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +10.0 +5.3 +4.7
  Jan 19, 2022 12   @ Villanova W 57-54 22%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +21.8 +0.6 +21.7
  Jan 23, 2022 50   Xavier W 75-64 62%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +18.6 +2.4 +15.8
  Jan 26, 2022 34   @ Seton Hall W 73-63 40%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +23.4 +8.2 +15.2
  Jan 30, 2022 38   @ Providence L 63-65 41%     15 - 7 7 - 4 +11.1 -0.3 +11.2
  Feb 02, 2022 12   Villanova W 83-73 36%     16 - 7 8 - 4 +24.4 +14.5 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2022 17   @ Connecticut L 72-80 29%     16 - 8 8 - 5 +8.3 +8.9 -0.8
  Feb 12, 2022 108   @ Butler L 79-85 64%     16 - 9 8 - 6 +0.9 +12.6 -11.8
  Feb 16, 2022 150   Georgetown W 77-66 86%     17 - 9 9 - 6 +9.8 +3.5 +6.5
  Feb 20, 2022 43   @ Creighton L 82-83 42%     17 - 10 9 - 7 +11.7 +14.4 -2.7
  Feb 26, 2022 108   Butler W 64-56 78%     18 - 10 10 - 7 +10.5 -4.0 +14.7
  Mar 02, 2022 90   @ DePaul L 80-91 59%     18 - 11 10 - 8 -2.5 +0.4 -1.5
  Mar 05, 2022 45   St. John's W 85-77 61%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +15.9 +5.0 +9.8
  Mar 10, 2022 43   Creighton L 63-74 51%     19 - 12 -0.5 -1.1 +0.6
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 91.4% 91.4% 9.5 0.1 1.5 12.8 30.4 35.2 11.4 0.1 8.6 91.4%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 91.4% 0.0% 91.4% 9.5 0.1 1.5 12.8 30.4 35.2 11.4 0.1 8.6 91.4%