Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#109
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#106
Pace69.0#150
Improvement+2.4#86

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#130
First Shot+0.8#149
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#114
Layup/Dunks+1.3#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows+1.2#83
Improvement+1.2#122

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#112
First Shot+2.0#108
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#134
Layups/Dunks+1.9#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#116
Freethrows-2.3#323
Improvement+1.2#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 5
Quad 22 - 22 - 7
Quad 36 - 38 - 10
Quad 413 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 343   Bethune-Cookman W 71-51 95%     1 - 0 +5.3 +0.0 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2021 174   Winthrop W 76-65 74%     2 - 0 +8.4 -3.9 +11.6
  Nov 19, 2021 117   @ Stephen F. Austin L 74-87 44%     2 - 1 -7.6 -1.8 -4.5
  Nov 23, 2021 229   Rider W 60-54 76%     3 - 1 +2.5 -13.7 +16.2
  Nov 24, 2021 199   Mercer W 82-58 71%     4 - 1 +22.2 +3.0 +18.4
  Dec 01, 2021 313   Tennessee Martin W 73-61 92%     5 - 1 +0.1 -3.5 +3.9
  Dec 04, 2021 56   @ Murray St. L 87-93 23%     5 - 2 +5.6 +9.6 -3.3
  Dec 11, 2021 313   @ Tennessee Martin W 84-75 86%     6 - 2 +1.5 +4.4 -3.2
  Dec 15, 2021 99   @ Mississippi L 52-62 37%     6 - 3 -2.5 -17.3 +14.9
  Dec 19, 2021 163   Coastal Carolina W 84-80 72%     7 - 3 +1.9 +13.7 -11.6
  Dec 22, 2021 94   @ Chattanooga L 65-77 35%     7 - 4 -3.9 -2.3 -2.0
  Jan 06, 2022 207   @ Rice L 61-65 65%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -4.0 -17.5 +13.6
  Jan 08, 2022 72   @ North Texas L 63-70 27%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +3.4 +2.5 +0.4
  Jan 13, 2022 126   Florida Atlantic W 70-57 63%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +13.5 +1.3 +13.0
  Jan 15, 2022 264   Florida International W 50-39 87%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +2.9 -19.6 +24.0
  Jan 22, 2022 335   Southern Miss W 74-60 94%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +0.4 -3.0 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2022 232   @ Marshall W 81-79 70%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +0.6 +6.6 -6.1
  Jan 29, 2022 115   @ Western Kentucky W 93-85 43%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +13.8 +18.8 -5.4
  Feb 05, 2022 53   @ UAB L 75-97 23%     12 - 7 5 - 3 -10.2 +2.5 -11.5
  Feb 07, 2022 293   Texas San Antonio W 84-75 90%     13 - 7 6 - 3 -1.1 +10.4 -11.2
  Feb 10, 2022 181   Old Dominion W 63-48 75%     14 - 7 7 - 3 +12.0 -2.8 +16.7
  Feb 13, 2022 189   Charlotte W 78-63 76%     15 - 7 8 - 3 +11.6 +15.5 -1.3
  Feb 17, 2022 264   @ Florida International W 71-65 77%     16 - 7 9 - 3 +2.3 +0.4 +2.2
  Feb 19, 2022 126   @ Florida Atlantic W 87-79 46%     17 - 7 10 - 3 +12.9 +18.6 -5.4
  Feb 21, 2022 158   UTEP W 77-59 71%     18 - 7 11 - 3 +16.2 +10.4 +7.1
  Feb 24, 2022 232   Marshall W 74-65 82%     19 - 7 12 - 3 +3.2 -5.5 +8.3
  Feb 26, 2022 115   Western Kentucky W 69-52 60%     20 - 7 13 - 3 +18.3 -2.5 +21.2
  Mar 02, 2022 189   @ Charlotte L 56-60 61%     20 - 8 13 - 4 -3.0 -11.3 +7.9
  Mar 05, 2022 181   @ Old Dominion L 64-68 60%     20 - 9 13 - 5 -2.5 -2.0 -0.8
  Mar 10, 2022 158   UTEP W 66-59 OT 64%     21 - 9 +7.4 -8.8 +15.8
  Mar 11, 2022 53   UAB L 98-102 3OT 29%     21 - 10 +5.6 +5.2 +1.4
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%