Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#56
Expected Predictive Rating+16.5#13
Pace65.3#257
Improvement-2.0#255

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#50
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#44
Layup/Dunks+4.0#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement-1.1#236

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#60
First Shot+4.5#49
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#188
Layups/Dunks+2.1#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#108
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement-0.9#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 14.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round42.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 02 - 1
Quad 23 - 05 - 1
Quad 35 - 110 - 2
Quad 417 - 027 - 2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 198   Bellarmine W 78-59 89%     1 - 0 +15.0 +2.5 +13.5
  Nov 16, 2021 178   @ Illinois St. W 77-65 77%     2 - 0 +13.6 +5.3 +8.6
  Nov 22, 2021 194   East Tennessee St. L 58-66 85%     2 - 1 -9.6 -16.6 +6.6
  Nov 23, 2021 148   Long Beach St. W 80-43 78%     3 - 1 +38.2 +8.5 +29.9
  Nov 24, 2021 233   James Madison W 74-62 89%     4 - 1 +8.3 +0.3 +8.4
  Dec 04, 2021 109   Middle Tennessee W 93-87 77%     5 - 1 +7.8 +10.7 -3.7
  Dec 10, 2021 25   @ Memphis W 74-72 32%     6 - 1 +16.3 +12.5 +3.9
  Dec 18, 2021 94   Chattanooga W 87-76 71%     7 - 1 +14.7 +12.5 +1.8
  Dec 22, 2021 11   @ Auburn L 58-71 17%     7 - 2 +6.4 -3.3 +9.6
  Dec 30, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 106-81 93%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +18.1 +13.8 +1.2
  Jan 08, 2022 308   @ SIU Edwardsville W 74-69 93%     9 - 2 2 - 0 -1.8 +6.3 -7.7
  Jan 13, 2022 278   Tennessee St. W 67-44 95%     10 - 2 3 - 0 +14.2 -6.8 +22.1
  Jan 15, 2022 91   @ Belmont W 82-60 54%     11 - 2 4 - 0 +30.4 +18.9 +13.1
  Jan 17, 2022 355   @ Eastern Illinois W 72-46 98%     12 - 2 5 - 0 +11.0 +3.3 +10.2
  Jan 20, 2022 355   Eastern Illinois W 91-51 99%     13 - 2 6 - 0 +20.6 +21.1 +3.0
  Jan 22, 2022 313   Tennessee Martin W 74-66 97%     14 - 2 7 - 0 -3.9 -6.8 +2.6
  Jan 24, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech W 79-53 94%     15 - 2 8 - 0 +17.5 +3.6 +14.7
  Jan 27, 2022 272   @ Tennessee Tech W 80-75 89%     16 - 2 9 - 0 +0.9 +5.6 -4.7
  Jan 29, 2022 134   Morehead St. W 77-66 82%     17 - 2 10 - 0 +10.9 +6.5 +4.6
  Feb 03, 2022 296   @ Austin Peay W 65-53 91%     18 - 2 11 - 0 +6.2 +1.5 +6.6
  Feb 05, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 79-59 96%     19 - 2 12 - 0 +8.8 +7.2 +2.8
  Feb 10, 2022 278   @ Tennessee St. W 73-62 90%     20 - 2 13 - 0 +6.6 +9.5 -1.3
  Feb 12, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. W 57-53 69%     21 - 2 14 - 0 +8.3 -5.4 +14.2
  Feb 17, 2022 296   Austin Peay W 91-56 96%     22 - 2 15 - 0 +24.8 +22.8 +4.8
  Feb 19, 2022 313   @ Tennessee Martin W 62-60 93%     23 - 2 16 - 0 -5.5 -7.5 +2.2
  Feb 24, 2022 91   Belmont W 76-43 70%     24 - 2 17 - 0 +37.0 +12.3 +27.8
  Feb 26, 2022 245   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 70-68 86%     25 - 2 18 - 0 -0.5 -6.5 +6.1
  Mar 04, 2022 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-74 90%     26 - 2 +9.3 +9.6 -0.4
  Mar 05, 2022 134   Morehead St. W 71-67 76%     27 - 2 +6.1 +5.5 +0.9
Projected Record 27 - 2 18 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 8.4 0.0 0.1 3.0 11.5 17.4 18.3 24.6 15.5 8.8 0.8 0.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 8.4 0.0 0.1 3.0 11.5 17.4 18.3 24.6 15.5 8.8 0.8 0.0