Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#171
Pace76.9#19
Improvement-2.2#265

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#113
First Shot+2.4#102
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#183
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#121
Freethrows+1.1#93
Improvement-3.3#320

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#223
First Shot-2.3#246
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#116
Layups/Dunks-3.6#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#52
Freethrows-2.2#315
Improvement+1.1#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 70 - 9
Quad 22 - 62 - 15
Quad 34 - 26 - 17
Quad 45 - 211 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 126   Florida Atlantic W 99-92 51%     1 - 0 +7.5 +15.6 -8.8
  Nov 13, 2021 57   @ Colorado L 76-87 15%     1 - 1 +0.6 +3.6 -2.0
  Nov 15, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 86-61 88%     2 - 1 +12.8 -0.2 +10.3
  Nov 20, 2021 140   Montana St. W 81-78 54%     3 - 1 +2.7 +4.9 -2.3
  Nov 25, 2021 53   UAB L 73-86 20%     3 - 2 -3.4 -1.8 -0.7
  Nov 26, 2021 89   Towson L 58-73 29%     3 - 3 -8.7 -7.7 -2.3
  Nov 30, 2021 85   @ New Mexico St. W 101-94 21%     4 - 3 +16.0 +20.0 -4.9
  Dec 06, 2021 85   New Mexico St. L 76-78 OT 35%     4 - 4 +2.6 -5.9 +8.8
  Dec 09, 2021 295   Denver W 87-67 84%     5 - 4 +9.8 +6.2 +3.4
  Dec 12, 2021 158   UTEP L 69-77 59%     5 - 5 -9.8 -6.2 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2021 49   SMU L 72-90 25%     5 - 6 -10.3 +1.1 -10.9
  Dec 21, 2021 196   Norfolk St. W 68-54 67%     6 - 6 +10.2 -4.9 +15.4
  Jan 01, 2022 110   @ Nevada L 70-79 30%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -2.9 -6.0 +3.8
  Jan 08, 2022 58   Utah St. L 87-90 OT 27%     6 - 8 0 - 2 +4.0 +6.5 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2022 86   @ UNLV L 56-85 22%     6 - 9 0 - 3 -20.3 -16.4 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2022 37   Boise St. L 63-71 22%     6 - 10 0 - 4 +0.7 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 19, 2022 44   @ Colorado St. L 74-80 13%     6 - 11 0 - 5 +6.7 +11.5 -5.3
  Jan 22, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 91-93 18%     6 - 12 0 - 6 +8.3 +18.8 -10.4
  Jan 25, 2022 84   Fresno St. L 60-65 35%     6 - 13 0 - 7 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6
  Jan 28, 2022 275   San Jose St. W 86-70 81%     7 - 13 1 - 7 +7.3 +8.9 -1.5
  Jan 31, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. L 47-72 11%     7 - 14 1 - 8 -10.7 -13.2 +2.6
  Feb 05, 2022 249   @ Air Force W 91-77 63%     8 - 14 2 - 8 +11.3 +15.0 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2022 74   Wyoming W 75-66 31%     9 - 14 3 - 8 +14.8 +6.7 +8.3
  Feb 17, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 68-83 23%     9 - 15 3 - 9 -6.7 -1.0 -6.1
  Feb 20, 2022 275   @ San Jose St. L 55-71 68%     9 - 16 3 - 10 -20.3 -15.2 -6.8
  Feb 22, 2022 58   @ Utah St. L 56-81 16%     9 - 17 3 - 11 -13.6 -12.3 -0.6
  Feb 26, 2022 249   Air Force W 69-65 77%     10 - 17 4 - 11 -3.1 -0.6 -2.2
  Feb 28, 2022 84   @ Fresno St. L 68-71 21%     10 - 18 4 - 12 +6.0 +5.6 +0.3
  Mar 05, 2022 86   UNLV W 76-67 36%     11 - 18 5 - 12 +13.3 +3.4 +9.6
  Mar 09, 2022 110   Nevada L 72-79 38%     11 - 19 -3.1 -4.1 +1.4
Projected Record 11 - 19 5 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%