Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#201
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#222
Pace62.6#321
Improvement+0.5#161

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#231
First Shot-0.3#193
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#307
Layup/Dunks-1.6#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
Freethrows+0.2#148
Improvement+0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#164
First Shot+1.1#138
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#264
Layups/Dunks+2.2#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
Freethrows+0.6#125
Improvement+0.4#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 50   @ Xavier L 60-63 10%     0 - 1 +9.0 -6.8 +15.7
  Nov 12, 2021 27   @ Ohio St. L 74-84 8%     0 - 2 +4.2 +5.0 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2021 308   SIU Edwardsville W 70-60 75%     1 - 2 +1.0 +1.1 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2021 312   St. Thomas L 67-76 77%     1 - 3 -18.6 -6.4 -13.6
  Nov 21, 2021 251   @ Youngstown St. W 58-53 54%     2 - 3 +2.2 -11.4 +14.3
  Nov 29, 2021 125   @ Colgate W 70-59 26%     3 - 3 +15.9 +3.6 +13.3
  Dec 03, 2021 175   Monmouth L 49-57 53%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -10.7 -17.7 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2021 222   Fairfield L 71-81 63%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -15.2 -0.4 -15.2
  Dec 08, 2021 304   @ Eastern Michigan L 58-60 67%     3 - 6 -8.4 -12.5 +3.9
  Dec 18, 2021 285   Albany W 66-58 71%     4 - 6 +0.5 -1.2 +2.4
  Dec 31, 2021 240   @ Quinnipiac L 68-77 51%     4 - 7 0 - 3 -11.1 -4.2 -7.4
  Jan 09, 2022 240   Quinnipiac W 76-66 68%     5 - 7 1 - 3 +3.5 -3.2 +6.5
  Jan 13, 2022 261   Canisius W 68-58 72%     6 - 7 2 - 3 +2.0 -4.9 +7.3
  Jan 16, 2022 104   @ Iona L 55-78 20%     6 - 8 2 - 4 -15.8 -12.1 -4.7
  Jan 18, 2022 269   @ Manhattan W 72-63 58%     7 - 8 3 - 4 +5.1 -1.2 +6.6
  Jan 21, 2022 129   St. Peter's L 68-74 OT 42%     7 - 9 3 - 5 -5.8 -0.2 -5.6
  Jan 23, 2022 229   Rider L 67-70 65%     7 - 10 3 - 6 -8.7 -7.3 -1.4
  Jan 28, 2022 237   @ Siena L 56-60 50%     7 - 11 3 - 7 -5.7 -9.2 +3.0
  Jan 30, 2022 175   @ Monmouth W 70-69 OT 36%     8 - 11 4 - 7 +2.7 -2.0 +4.7
  Feb 04, 2022 269   Manhattan W 80-74 OT 73%     9 - 11 5 - 7 -2.3 -2.6 +0.0
  Feb 06, 2022 104   Iona W 80-71 33%     10 - 11 6 - 7 +11.8 +14.8 -2.3
  Feb 12, 2022 222   @ Fairfield L 53-73 46%     10 - 12 6 - 8 -20.8 -11.7 -12.0
  Feb 14, 2022 225   @ Marist L 70-77 47%     10 - 13 6 - 9 -8.0 -0.8 -7.4
  Feb 19, 2022 261   @ Canisius W 65-54 57%     11 - 13 7 - 9 +7.4 -3.2 +11.5
  Feb 25, 2022 229   @ Rider L 68-70 48%     11 - 14 7 - 10 -3.3 -0.1 -3.4
  Feb 27, 2022 129   @ St. Peter's L 36-63 27%     11 - 15 7 - 11 -22.4 -26.1 +0.6
  Mar 03, 2022 237   Siena W 74-52 66%     12 - 15 8 - 11 +15.9 +0.9 +15.4
  Mar 05, 2022 225   Marist W 83-52 64%     13 - 15 9 - 11 +25.6 +13.2 +14.3
  Mar 10, 2022 175   Monmouth L 58-61 45%     13 - 16 -3.5 -2.6 -1.5
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%