Pre-tourney Rankings
North Texas
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#72
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#55
Pace53.9#358
Improvement-0.8#207

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#142
First Shot+0.0#187
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#82
Layup/Dunks-1.3#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows+1.2#82
Improvement-1.9#273

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#21
First Shot+4.6#46
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#18
Layups/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#4
Freethrows+0.6#127
Improvement+1.1#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four20.1% n/a n/a
First Round12.4% n/a n/a
Second Round3.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 25 - 36 - 4
Quad 35 - 211 - 6
Quad 411 - 022 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 121   Buffalo L 66-69 76%     0 - 1 -2.1 -2.9 +0.6
  Nov 18, 2021 227   Texas Arlington W 64-36 89%     1 - 1 +22.5 -1.7 +27.6
  Nov 25, 2021 4   Kansas L 59-71 18%     1 - 2 +6.1 -6.3 +12.2
  Nov 26, 2021 54   Miami (FL) L 63-69 45%     1 - 3 +3.4 -0.8 +3.5
  Nov 28, 2021 87   Drake W 57-54 57%     2 - 3 +9.4 +3.1 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2021 171   Massachusetts W 66-57 79%     3 - 3 +8.7 +0.3 +10.2
  Dec 14, 2021 145   Sam Houston St. W 65-55 81%     4 - 3 +9.1 -3.0 +12.5
  Dec 18, 2021 92   @ Wichita St. W 62-52 50%     5 - 3 +18.2 +1.6 +17.6
  Jan 01, 2022 207   Rice W 75-43 88%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +27.6 +12.9 +21.7
  Jan 06, 2022 53   UAB L 63-69 53%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +1.4 +2.2 -1.8
  Jan 08, 2022 109   Middle Tennessee W 70-63 73%     7 - 4 2 - 1 +8.8 +3.2 +6.1
  Jan 13, 2022 232   @ Marshall W 69-65 82%     8 - 4 3 - 1 +2.6 +3.5 -0.4
  Jan 15, 2022 115   @ Western Kentucky W 65-60 59%     9 - 4 4 - 1 +10.8 +0.3 +11.0
  Jan 20, 2022 189   Charlotte W 65-51 86%     10 - 4 5 - 1 +10.6 +9.0 +5.9
  Jan 22, 2022 181   Old Dominion W 69-56 85%     11 - 4 6 - 1 +10.0 +8.6 +3.9
  Jan 27, 2022 335   @ Southern Miss W 63-54 94%     12 - 4 7 - 1 -0.2 -0.7 +2.5
  Jan 29, 2022 102   @ Louisiana Tech W 63-62 53%     13 - 4 8 - 1 +8.3 +8.1 +0.5
  Feb 05, 2022 293   Texas San Antonio W 69-45 95%     14 - 4 9 - 1 +13.9 +1.1 +15.8
  Feb 07, 2022 158   UTEP W 66-58 83%     15 - 4 10 - 1 +6.2 +6.3 +1.5
  Feb 12, 2022 207   @ Rice W 67-44 78%     16 - 4 11 - 1 +23.0 +3.8 +23.8
  Feb 17, 2022 126   @ Florida Atlantic W 54-51 63%     17 - 4 12 - 1 +7.9 -3.7 +12.3
  Feb 19, 2022 53   @ UAB W 58-57 36%     18 - 4 13 - 1 +12.8 -0.1 +13.1
  Feb 24, 2022 335   Southern Miss W 85-61 97%     19 - 4 14 - 1 +10.4 +10.6 +1.3
  Feb 26, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech W 56-49 70%     20 - 4 15 - 1 +9.9 -4.4 +15.6
  Mar 03, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 59-48 90%     21 - 4 16 - 1 +5.3 -7.7 +14.4
  Mar 05, 2022 158   @ UTEP L 68-70 70%     21 - 5 16 - 2 +0.6 +3.1 -2.7
  Mar 10, 2022 207   Rice W 68-50 84%     22 - 5 +15.8 +11.5 +9.8
  Mar 11, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech L 36-42 62%     22 - 6 -0.9 -25.8 +23.6
Projected Record 22 - 6 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 23.8% 23.8% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 8.7 13.8 0.4 76.2 23.8%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.8% 0.0% 23.8% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 8.7 13.8 0.4 76.2 23.8%