Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#179
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#201
Pace62.4#325
Improvement+8.3#3

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#197
First Shot-4.1#293
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#6
Layup/Dunks-4.8#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#88
Freethrows-1.0#270
Improvement+2.9#43

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#169
First Shot+0.4#166
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#199
Layups/Dunks-1.3#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
Freethrows+1.7#66
Improvement+5.4#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 416 - 618 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 182   UNC Greensboro L 69-70 OT 59%     0 - 1 -4.0 -6.2 +2.2
  Nov 18, 2021 304   Eastern Michigan W 74-73 83%     1 - 1 -9.8 +0.8 -10.6
  Nov 22, 2021 242   Western Illinois L 67-69 72%     1 - 2 -8.7 -14.0 +5.4
  Nov 26, 2021 90   @ DePaul L 68-77 19%     1 - 3 -0.5 -0.8 +0.2
  Dec 02, 2021 190   @ Cleveland St. L 58-72 44%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -13.1 -10.2 -4.2
  Dec 04, 2021 220   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 57-71 50%     1 - 5 0 - 2 -14.7 -12.9 -2.4
  Dec 08, 2021 261   Canisius W 75-62 76%     2 - 5 +5.0 +3.2 +2.5
  Dec 18, 2021 262   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-81 OT 61%     2 - 6 -16.6 -18.6 +4.0
  Dec 22, 2021 33   @ Indiana L 61-79 10%     2 - 7 -4.4 +0.1 -5.5
  Dec 30, 2021 337   Green Bay W 79-74 89%     3 - 7 1 - 2 -8.7 +9.7 -17.8
  Jan 01, 2022 329   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 55-61 87%     3 - 8 1 - 3 -19.0 -15.6 -4.1
  Jan 13, 2022 251   @ Youngstown St. W 68-67 58%     4 - 8 2 - 3 -1.8 -2.6 +1.0
  Jan 15, 2022 311   @ Robert Morris L 64-74 74%     4 - 9 2 - 4 -17.4 -9.2 -9.1
  Jan 20, 2022 276   @ Illinois-Chicago W 74-70 OT 64%     5 - 9 3 - 4 -0.3 -6.9 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2022 358   @ IUPUI W 60-41 93%     6 - 9 4 - 4 +1.7 -6.5 +11.4
  Jan 25, 2022 166   Wright St. W 73-63 56%     7 - 9 5 - 4 +7.8 -2.1 +10.0
  Jan 28, 2022 220   Purdue Fort Wayne W 59-49 67%     8 - 9 6 - 4 +4.9 -9.3 +15.2
  Jan 30, 2022 190   Cleveland St. W 78-72 61%     9 - 9 7 - 4 +2.5 +9.9 -6.8
  Feb 04, 2022 186   Oakland W 87-78 OT 60%     10 - 9 8 - 4 +5.7 +9.7 -4.2
  Feb 05, 2022 221   Detroit Mercy L 68-74 67%     10 - 10 8 - 5 -11.2 +3.2 -15.6
  Feb 09, 2022 329   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-39 78%     11 - 10 9 - 5 +27.4 +8.3 +23.3
  Feb 11, 2022 337   @ Green Bay W 71-62 79%     12 - 10 10 - 5 -0.3 +5.4 -4.4
  Feb 13, 2022 166   @ Wright St. W 75-71 39%     13 - 10 11 - 5 +6.2 -0.3 +6.4
  Feb 18, 2022 221   @ Detroit Mercy L 52-60 51%     13 - 11 11 - 6 -8.8 -14.9 +4.5
  Feb 20, 2022 186   @ Oakland W 71-66 43%     14 - 11 12 - 6 +6.2 +0.6 +5.7
  Feb 24, 2022 311   Robert Morris W 78-64 85%     15 - 11 13 - 6 +2.2 +8.9 -4.6
  Feb 26, 2022 251   Youngstown St. W 75-61 74%     16 - 11 14 - 6 +6.8 +3.7 +4.5
  Mar 03, 2022 221   Detroit Mercy W 77-59 67%     17 - 11 +12.8 +9.7 +5.8
  Mar 07, 2022 220   Purdue Fort Wayne W 57-43 59%     18 - 11 +11.1 -15.2 +26.6
  Mar 08, 2022 166   Wright St. L 71-72 48%     18 - 12 -1.0 +2.6 -3.7
Projected Record 18 - 12 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8 0.0%
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8 100.0% 100.0
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%