Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon St.
Pac-12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#204
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#293
Pace67.1#207
Improvement-3.7#312

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#103
First Shot+1.2#142
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#73
Layup/Dunks+3.3#62
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#292
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+1.8#85

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#297
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#288
Layups/Dunks-1.3#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#334
Freethrows+0.6#130
Improvement-5.4#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 9
Quad 20 - 100 - 19
Quad 31 - 71 - 26
Quad 42 - 23 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 244   Portland St. W 73-64 68%     1 - 0 +2.1 -5.7 +7.3
  Nov 12, 2021 55   @ Iowa St. L 50-60 11%     1 - 1 +1.6 -14.5 +16.4
  Nov 15, 2021 154   @ Tulsa L 58-64 32%     1 - 2 -3.0 -5.5 +1.6
  Nov 18, 2021 192   Samford L 77-78 57%     1 - 3 -4.6 -0.9 -3.7
  Nov 21, 2021 112   Princeton L 80-81 37%     1 - 4 +0.6 +10.7 -10.2
  Nov 26, 2021 35   Wake Forest L 77-80 OT 12%     1 - 5 +8.1 +0.3 +8.1
  Nov 27, 2021 73   Penn St. L 45-60 17%     1 - 6 -6.8 -10.7 +0.1
  Dec 02, 2021 122   @ California L 61-73 25%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -6.8 -0.5 -7.5
  Dec 05, 2021 2   Arizona L 65-90 5%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -7.3 -4.8 -1.2
  Dec 14, 2021 213   UC Davis L 64-71 61%     1 - 9 -11.8 -10.8 -0.8
  Dec 18, 2021 42   Texas A&M L 73-83 17%     1 - 10 -1.6 +6.8 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2021 224   Nicholls St. W 83-61 63%     2 - 10 +16.6 +3.4 +12.1
  Dec 30, 2021 114   Utah W 88-76 38%     3 - 10 1 - 2 +13.3 +11.3 +1.6
  Jan 10, 2022 70   Oregon L 76-78 23%     3 - 11 1 - 3 +4.0 +7.5 -3.5
  Jan 13, 2022 41   @ USC L 71-81 9%     3 - 12 1 - 4 +2.8 +4.5 -1.7
  Jan 15, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 65-81 3%     3 - 13 1 - 5 +3.6 +5.7 -3.2
  Jan 20, 2022 101   Washington L 72-82 32%     3 - 14 1 - 6 -7.1 +4.1 -11.6
  Jan 29, 2022 70   @ Oregon L 56-78 13%     3 - 15 1 - 7 -11.6 -11.5 -0.4
  Feb 03, 2022 114   @ Utah L 59-84 23%     3 - 16 1 - 8 -19.2 -6.4 -15.4
  Feb 05, 2022 57   @ Colorado L 63-86 11%     3 - 17 1 - 9 -11.4 +3.1 -16.7
  Feb 09, 2022 122   California L 61-63 40%     3 - 18 1 - 10 -1.2 -6.0 +4.7
  Feb 12, 2022 97   Stanford L 65-76 30%     3 - 19 1 - 11 -7.6 +4.2 -13.5
  Feb 15, 2022 57   Colorado L 64-90 20%     3 - 20 1 - 12 -18.8 -6.2 -11.7
  Feb 17, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 69-83 2%     3 - 21 1 - 13 +8.1 +7.9 -0.4
  Feb 19, 2022 83   @ Arizona St. L 53-73 15%     3 - 22 1 - 14 -10.9 -12.1 +1.4
  Feb 24, 2022 41   USC L 91-94 2OT 17%     3 - 23 1 - 15 +5.4 +4.8 +1.2
  Feb 26, 2022 8   UCLA L 55-94 7%     3 - 24 1 - 16 -23.8 -3.2 -26.0
  Feb 28, 2022 51   Washington St. L 97-103 OT 19%     3 - 25 1 - 17 +1.4 +24.2 -22.5
  Mar 03, 2022 51   @ Washington St. L 67-71 10%     3 - 26 1 - 18 +7.8 +6.3 +1.2
  Mar 05, 2022 101   @ Washington L 67-78 19%     3 - 27 1 - 19 -3.6 -1.0 -2.7
  Mar 09, 2022 70   Oregon L 72-86 17%     3 - 28 -5.8 +1.2 -6.7
Projected Record 3 - 28 1 - 19




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19 100.0% 100.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%