Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#38
Expected Predictive Rating+17.3#9
Pace64.7#267
Improvement-1.0#218

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#27
First Shot+6.5#23
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#142
Layup/Dunks+4.0#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#148
Freethrows+4.3#2
Improvement+1.2#114

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#71
First Shot+2.7#90
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#69
Layups/Dunks-3.2#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#115
Freethrows+2.8#22
Improvement-2.3#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 25.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round59.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.3% n/a n/a
Final Four1.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 24 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 15 - 3
Quad 29 - 214 - 5
Quad 36 - 020 - 5
Quad 45 - 025 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 222   Fairfield W 80-73 93%     1 - 0 +1.8 -0.9 +2.1
  Nov 11, 2021 315   Sacred Heart W 92-64 97%     2 - 0 +15.9 +10.9 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2021 30   @ Wisconsin W 63-58 39%     3 - 0 +18.9 +1.9 +17.3
  Nov 18, 2021 247   New Hampshire W 69-58 94%     4 - 0 +4.1 +8.2 -1.3
  Nov 22, 2021 78   Northwestern W 77-72 63%     5 - 0 +12.5 +13.9 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2021 77   Virginia L 40-58 62%     5 - 1 -10.2 -17.7 +2.9
  Nov 27, 2021 129   St. Peter's W 85-71 84%     6 - 1 +14.2 +23.9 -8.5
  Dec 01, 2021 9   Texas Tech W 72-68 34%     7 - 1 +19.1 +11.7 +7.5
  Dec 04, 2021 137   Rhode Island W 66-52 85%     8 - 1 +13.8 +3.7 +11.6
  Dec 07, 2021 68   Vermont W 68-58 68%     9 - 1 +16.1 +3.7 +13.2
  Dec 11, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 68-53 98%     10 - 1 -0.8 -18.1 +15.9
  Dec 18, 2021 17   @ Connecticut W 57-53 30%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +20.3 -3.1 +23.8
  Dec 29, 2021 34   Seton Hall W 70-65 57%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +14.0 +3.0 +11.0
  Jan 01, 2022 90   @ DePaul W 70-53 59%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +25.5 +8.0 +19.1
  Jan 04, 2022 40   @ Marquette L 56-88 42%     13 - 2 3 - 1 -19.1 -4.8 -17.3
  Jan 08, 2022 45   St. John's W 83-73 62%     14 - 2 4 - 1 +17.9 +6.9 +10.2
  Jan 20, 2022 150   Georgetown W 83-75 87%     15 - 2 5 - 1 +6.8 +11.7 -4.5
  Jan 23, 2022 108   Butler W 69-62 79%     16 - 2 6 - 1 +9.5 +8.2 +2.3
  Jan 26, 2022 50   @ Xavier W 65-62 46%     17 - 2 7 - 1 +15.0 +4.5 +10.8
  Jan 30, 2022 40   Marquette W 65-63 59%     18 - 2 8 - 1 +10.5 +1.3 +9.3
  Feb 01, 2022 45   @ St. John's W 86-82 45%     19 - 2 9 - 1 +16.3 +13.1 +2.9
  Feb 06, 2022 150   @ Georgetown W 71-52 77%     20 - 2 10 - 1 +22.3 -1.9 +24.1
  Feb 12, 2022 90   DePaul W 76-73 OT 74%     21 - 2 11 - 1 +7.1 +4.9 +2.2
  Feb 15, 2022 12   Villanova L 84-89 37%     21 - 3 11 - 2 +9.4 +14.2 -4.7
  Feb 20, 2022 108   @ Butler W 71-70 OT 65%     22 - 3 12 - 2 +7.9 +9.0 -1.0
  Feb 23, 2022 50   Xavier W 99-92 3OT 63%     23 - 3 13 - 2 +14.6 +12.2 +1.2
  Feb 26, 2022 43   Creighton W 72-51 60%     24 - 3 14 - 2 +29.3 +11.5 +19.2
  Mar 01, 2022 12   @ Villanova L 74-76 22%     24 - 4 14 - 3 +16.8 +16.7 -0.1
  Mar 10, 2022 108   Butler W 65-61 72%     25 - 4 +8.7 +1.2 +7.8
  Mar 11, 2022 43   Creighton L 58-85 51%     25 - 5 -16.5 -4.7 -12.7
Projected Record 25 - 5 14 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.1 4.3 21.5 47.1 23.1 3.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.1 4.3 21.5 47.1 23.1 3.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%