Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.2#14
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#10
Pace65.5#251
Improvement-6.8#353

Offense
Total Offense+12.4#3
First Shot+9.7#5
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#22
Layup/Dunks+5.2#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#36
Freethrows+1.9#48
Improvement-5.6#355

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#77
First Shot+2.7#86
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#82
Layups/Dunks+5.5#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#316
Freethrows+2.8#20
Improvement-1.1#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 14.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen60.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight30.1% n/a n/a
Final Four14.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.0% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 18 - 6
Quad 26 - 114 - 7
Quad 37 - 021 - 7
Quad 46 - 027 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 198   Bellarmine W 96-67 96%     1 - 0 +25.0 +21.3 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2021 223   Indiana St. W 92-67 97%     2 - 0 +19.7 +14.8 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2021 166   Wright St. W 96-52 95%     3 - 0 +41.8 +13.4 +25.5
  Nov 20, 2021 28   North Carolina W 93-84 67%     4 - 0 +20.8 +16.6 +3.4
  Nov 21, 2021 12   Villanova W 80-74 48%     5 - 0 +22.6 +26.5 -2.9
  Nov 26, 2021 346   Nebraska Omaha W 97-40 99%     6 - 0 +41.8 +18.7 +25.9
  Nov 30, 2021 106   Florida St. W 93-65 89%     7 - 0 +30.6 +24.2 +7.0
  Dec 03, 2021 10   Iowa W 77-70 54%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +22.1 +0.8 +20.8
  Dec 09, 2021 59   @ Rutgers L 68-70 68%     8 - 1 1 - 1 +9.4 +7.3 +2.0
  Dec 12, 2021 127   North Carolina St. W 82-72 OT 89%     9 - 1 +12.7 +2.0 +10.0
  Dec 18, 2021 108   Butler W 77-48 86%     10 - 1 +33.7 +23.8 +15.8
  Dec 20, 2021 353   Incarnate Word W 79-59 99.5%    11 - 1 +1.8 +3.0 +0.8
  Dec 29, 2021 224   Nicholls St. W 104-90 97%     12 - 1 +8.6 +24.1 -16.0
  Jan 03, 2022 30   Wisconsin L 69-74 74%     12 - 2 1 - 2 +4.4 +4.8 -0.6
  Jan 08, 2022 73   @ Penn St. W 74-67 71%     13 - 2 2 - 2 +17.4 +17.2 +1.1
  Jan 14, 2022 116   Nebraska W 92-65 91%     14 - 2 3 - 2 +28.0 +15.0 +11.9
  Jan 17, 2022 15   @ Illinois W 96-88 2OT 48%     15 - 2 4 - 2 +24.8 +14.3 +9.1
  Jan 20, 2022 33   @ Indiana L 65-68 60%     15 - 3 4 - 3 +10.6 +4.5 +5.9
  Jan 23, 2022 78   Northwestern W 80-60 85%     16 - 3 5 - 3 +25.3 +23.7 +4.8
  Jan 27, 2022 10   @ Iowa W 83-73 37%     17 - 3 6 - 3 +29.5 +19.5 +10.6
  Jan 30, 2022 27   Ohio St. W 81-78 73%     18 - 3 7 - 3 +12.7 +14.7 -1.7
  Feb 02, 2022 105   @ Minnesota W 88-73 81%     19 - 3 8 - 3 +22.0 +23.1 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2022 24   Michigan W 82-76 73%     20 - 3 9 - 3 +15.9 +18.3 -1.9
  Feb 08, 2022 15   Illinois W 84-68 65%     21 - 3 10 - 3 +28.4 +22.0 +7.3
  Feb 10, 2022 24   @ Michigan L 58-82 57%     21 - 4 10 - 4 -9.6 -2.5 -10.2
  Feb 13, 2022 64   Maryland W 62-61 82%     22 - 4 11 - 4 +7.4 -5.6 +13.1
  Feb 16, 2022 78   @ Northwestern W 70-64 73%     23 - 4 12 - 4 +15.8 +3.2 +12.6
  Feb 20, 2022 59   Rutgers W 84-72 81%     24 - 4 13 - 4 +19.0 +24.7 -4.4
  Feb 26, 2022 32   @ Michigan St. L 65-68 60%     24 - 5 13 - 5 +10.7 +2.2 +8.4
  Mar 01, 2022 30   @ Wisconsin L 67-70 59%     24 - 6 13 - 6 +10.9 +6.6 +4.0
  Mar 05, 2022 33   Indiana W 69-67 75%     25 - 6 14 - 6 +11.2 +7.5 +3.8
  Mar 11, 2022 73   Penn St. W 69-61 78%     26 - 6 +16.2 +12.4 +5.0
  Mar 12, 2022 32   Michigan St. W 75-70 67%     27 - 6 +16.5 +15.4 +1.7
  Mar 13, 2022 10   Iowa L 66-75 46%     27 - 7 +8.3 -0.5 +8.5
Projected Record 27 - 7 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.1 1.0 13.6 60.5 23.3 1.5 0.0 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.1 1.0 13.6 60.5 23.3 1.5 0.0 100.0%