Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#275
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#249
Pace64.9#262
Improvement-3.9#317

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#241
First Shot-0.5#197
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#317
Layup/Dunks-2.7#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#15
Freethrows-2.4#333
Improvement-3.5#328

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#287
First Shot-3.5#282
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#251
Layups/Dunks-4.6#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#171
Freethrows+2.1#43
Improvement-0.4#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 8
Quad 20 - 80 - 16
Quad 33 - 43 - 20
Quad 44 - 37 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 151   Cal St. Fullerton W 78-76 31%     1 - 0 +0.8 +8.5 -7.6
  Nov 15, 2021 97   @ Stanford L 62-76 10%     1 - 1 -6.2 -1.8 -5.4
  Nov 18, 2021 226   @ California Baptist L 66-67 30%     1 - 2 -2.1 -2.1 +0.0
  Nov 20, 2021 18   @ Texas L 45-79 3%     1 - 3 -17.8 -19.6 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2021 211   Northern Colorado W 75-74 43%     2 - 3 -3.7 +1.7 -5.4
  Nov 30, 2021 202   South Dakota W 61-52 41%     3 - 3 +4.9 -8.6 +14.6
  Dec 03, 2021 345   North Dakota W 76-51 80%     4 - 3 +9.8 -2.5 +13.6
  Dec 06, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine L 69-82 39%     4 - 4 -16.8 -8.8 -7.2
  Dec 11, 2021 277   Pacific W 78-66 59%     5 - 4 +3.2 -0.3 +3.1
  Dec 17, 2021 169   @ Portland W 90-78 21%     6 - 4 +13.9 +18.8 -4.7
  Dec 21, 2021 71   Santa Clara L 57-79 12%     6 - 5 -16.0 -17.9 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2022 84   @ Fresno St. L 59-79 8%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -11.0 +3.6 -18.0
  Jan 15, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 42-78 9%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -27.7 -25.8 -4.5
  Jan 17, 2022 86   UNLV L 56-81 16%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -20.7 -12.3 -9.5
  Jan 19, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 69-84 7%     6 - 9 0 - 4 -4.7 +6.5 -12.4
  Jan 22, 2022 86   @ UNLV L 62-70 9%     6 - 10 0 - 5 +0.7 +1.3 -1.6
  Jan 25, 2022 249   Air Force L 53-63 52%     6 - 11 0 - 6 -17.1 -10.3 -8.9
  Jan 28, 2022 155   @ New Mexico L 70-86 19%     6 - 12 0 - 7 -13.1 -2.5 -10.8
  Feb 01, 2022 84   Fresno St. L 43-73 15%     6 - 13 0 - 8 -25.4 -14.1 -18.7
  Feb 03, 2022 58   @ Utah St. L 62-78 6%     6 - 14 0 - 9 -4.6 +0.9 -7.0
  Feb 05, 2022 37   @ Boise St. L 60-76 4%     6 - 15 0 - 10 -2.9 -3.1 -0.2
  Feb 09, 2022 26   San Diego St. L 62-72 7%     6 - 16 0 - 11 -0.2 +1.2 -1.6
  Feb 12, 2022 74   Wyoming L 52-74 13%     6 - 17 0 - 12 -16.2 -13.0 -5.3
  Feb 15, 2022 110   @ Nevada L 72-81 12%     6 - 18 0 - 13 -2.9 +6.5 -10.1
  Feb 17, 2022 110   Nevada L 60-90 22%     6 - 19 0 - 14 -28.3 -11.3 -17.8
  Feb 20, 2022 155   New Mexico W 71-55 32%     7 - 19 1 - 14 +14.4 +2.8 +13.3
  Feb 25, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. L 52-77 4%     7 - 20 1 - 15 -10.7 -4.9 -7.4
  Mar 01, 2022 249   @ Air Force L 54-58 35%     7 - 21 1 - 16 -6.7 -17.9 +11.2
  Mar 04, 2022 58   Utah St. L 52-75 11%     7 - 22 1 - 17 -16.0 -12.4 -5.7
  Mar 09, 2022 84   Fresno St. L 67-69 OT 11%     7 - 23 +4.8 +2.8 +2.0
Projected Record 7 - 23 1 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%