Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#202
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#193
Pace65.6#249
Improvement+5.7#23

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#99
Layup/Dunks-3.0#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#222
Freethrows+1.9#47
Improvement+6.3#3

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#271
First Shot-5.1#326
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#44
Layups/Dunks-3.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#125
Freethrows-2.7#328
Improvement-0.6#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 415 - 217 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 249   Air Force W 59-53 61%     1 - 0 +1.1 -10.3 +11.8
  Nov 14, 2021 87   @ Drake L 50-99 16%     1 - 1 -40.4 -20.1 -19.1
  Nov 19, 2021 239   Southern W 71-68 67%     2 - 1 -3.4 -2.9 -0.6
  Nov 21, 2021 278   Tennessee St. W 83-66 75%     3 - 1 +8.2 +3.7 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2021 116   @ Nebraska L 70-83 24%     3 - 2 -7.6 -3.9 -3.1
  Nov 30, 2021 275   @ San Jose St. L 52-61 59%     3 - 3 -13.3 -17.3 +2.8
  Dec 07, 2021 211   @ Northern Colorado L 69-74 44%     3 - 4 -5.3 -7.2 +1.8
  Dec 11, 2021 330   Northern Arizona W 76-71 OT 85%     4 - 4 -8.0 -8.2 -0.1
  Dec 15, 2021 198   Bellarmine W 78-64 58%     5 - 4 +10.0 +3.6 +7.3
  Dec 20, 2021 160   Oral Roberts L 73-82 50%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -10.9 -4.5 -6.4
  Dec 22, 2021 217   UMKC L 57-68 62%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -15.9 -9.6 -7.8
  Jan 08, 2022 79   @ South Dakota St. L 65-84 14%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -9.5 -7.4 -2.4
  Jan 10, 2022 345   @ North Dakota W 75-68 80%     6 - 7 1 - 3 -3.8 -1.2 -2.2
  Jan 13, 2022 295   Denver W 80-71 78%     7 - 7 2 - 3 -1.2 +6.5 -7.0
  Jan 15, 2022 346   Nebraska Omaha W 105-70 89%     8 - 7 3 - 3 +19.8 +20.0 -0.9
  Jan 22, 2022 312   @ St. Thomas W 90-79 70%     9 - 7 4 - 3 +3.6 +10.1 -6.2
  Jan 24, 2022 242   @ Western Illinois W 75-72 52%     10 - 7 5 - 3 +0.7 -3.9 +4.4
  Jan 27, 2022 149   North Dakota St. L 62-74 OT 47%     10 - 8 5 - 4 -13.1 -11.1 -2.0
  Jan 29, 2022 345   North Dakota W 71-58 89%     11 - 8 6 - 4 -2.2 +1.0 -0.9
  Feb 05, 2022 79   South Dakota St. L 79-89 25%     11 - 9 6 - 5 -4.9 +2.5 -7.2
  Feb 07, 2022 149   @ North Dakota St. L 74-76 31%     11 - 10 6 - 6 +1.3 +13.2 -12.2
  Feb 10, 2022 346   @ Nebraska Omaha W 91-69 80%     12 - 10 7 - 6 +11.2 +10.2 +1.0
  Feb 12, 2022 295   @ Denver W 84-76 65%     13 - 10 8 - 6 +2.3 +12.7 -9.8
  Feb 17, 2022 312   St. Thomas W 81-60 83%     14 - 10 9 - 6 +9.1 +2.4 +8.4
  Feb 19, 2022 242   Western Illinois W 78-65 68%     15 - 10 10 - 6 +6.3 +2.4 +4.1
  Feb 24, 2022 217   @ UMKC L 63-72 45%     15 - 11 10 - 7 -9.5 -3.1 -7.3
  Feb 26, 2022 160   @ Oral Roberts W 92-87 33%     16 - 11 11 - 7 +7.5 +9.0 -1.8
  Mar 06, 2022 217   UMKC W 74-61 53%     17 - 11 +10.3 +4.9 +6.1
  Mar 07, 2022 79   South Dakota St. L 60-83 19%     17 - 12 -15.7 -6.0 -13.0
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%